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icon for Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
Politics·UK

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?

icon for Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
Politics·UK

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?

9% chance
Polymarket

$93,079 Vol.

9% chance
Polymarket

$93,079 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Andy Burnham’s recent announcement seeking Labour NEC permission to contest the Makerfield parliamentary by-election has not triggered an immediate resignation from his mayoral post. Under UK rules for combined authorities, he remains in office until elected as an MP, at which point the mayoral seat becomes vacant and a separate by-election process begins. With the parliamentary contest still weeks away and no confirmed resignation date or external removal mechanism in play, traders see little chance of a vacancy arising before the May 31 cutoff. This timeline, combined with Labour’s internal maneuvering around leadership pressure on Keir Starmer, underpins the strong market consensus against an early departure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$93,079
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 4:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Andy Burnham’s recent announcement seeking Labour NEC permission to contest the Makerfield parliamentary by-election has not triggered an immediate resignation from his mayoral post. Under UK rules for combined authorities, he remains in office until elected as an MP, at which point the mayoral seat becomes vacant and a separate by-election process begins. With the parliamentary contest still weeks away and no confirmed resignation date or external removal mechanism in play, traders see little chance of a vacancy arising before the May 31 cutoff. This timeline, combined with Labour’s internal maneuvering around leadership pressure on Keir Starmer, underpins the strong market consensus against an early departure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$93,079
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 4:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 9% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 9¢, the market collectively assigns a 9% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?" has generated $93.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?" is 9% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 9% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.