Former Prince Andrew (Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor) remains under UK police investigation for misconduct in public office—allegedly sharing sensitive trade envoy reports with Jeffrey Epstein—three months after his February 19, 2026 arrest and release without charges by the Crown Prosecution Service (CPS). No trial or formal charges have materialized, with US DOJ blocking access to unredacted Epstein files in April, limiting evidence. Traders price "No" sentencing at 92.5% implied probability, citing evidentiary hurdles, historical deference to royals, and stagnant procedural status amid recent unrelated security incidents like a May 7 armed threat near his Norfolk home. Late-breaking developments, such as new witness testimony or diplomatic shifts, could alter odds before any 2026 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$209,684 Vol.
$209,684 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$209,684 Vol.
$209,684 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Prince Andrew (Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor) remains under UK police investigation for misconduct in public office—allegedly sharing sensitive trade envoy reports with Jeffrey Epstein—three months after his February 19, 2026 arrest and release without charges by the Crown Prosecution Service (CPS). No trial or formal charges have materialized, with US DOJ blocking access to unredacted Epstein files in April, limiting evidence. Traders price "No" sentencing at 92.5% implied probability, citing evidentiary hurdles, historical deference to royals, and stagnant procedural status amid recent unrelated security incidents like a May 7 armed threat near his Norfolk home. Late-breaking developments, such as new witness testimony or diplomatic shifts, could alter odds before any 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Volume
$209,684End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Prince Andrew (Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor) remains under UK police investigation for misconduct in public office—allegedly sharing sensitive trade envoy reports with Jeffrey Epstein—three months after his February 19, 2026 arrest and release without charges by the Crown Prosecution Service (CPS). No trial or formal charges have materialized, with US DOJ blocking access to unredacted Epstein files in April, limiting evidence. Traders price "No" sentencing at 92.5% implied probability, citing evidentiary hurdles, historical deference to royals, and stagnant procedural status amid recent unrelated security incidents like a May 7 armed threat near his Norfolk home. Late-breaking developments, such as new witness testimony or diplomatic shifts, could alter odds before any 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$209,684End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former Prince Andrew (Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor) remains under UK police investigation for misconduct in public office—allegedly sharing sensitive trade envoy reports with Jeffrey Epstein—three months after his February 19, 2026 arrest and release without charges by the Crown Prosecution Service (CPS). No trial or formal charges have materialized, with US DOJ blocking access to unredacted Epstein files in April, limiting evidence. Traders price "No" sentencing at 92.5% implied probability, citing evidentiary hurdles, historical deference to royals, and stagnant procedural status amid recent unrelated security incidents like a May 7 armed threat near his Norfolk home. Late-breaking developments, such as new witness testimony or diplomatic shifts, could alter odds before any 2026 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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