Republicans hold narrow majorities in both chambers of Congress, with no active impeachment inquiry or floor proceedings underway against President Trump. House Democratic leadership has signaled it is not prioritizing articles of impeachment ahead of the November midterms, and past resolutions introduced by individual Democrats have not advanced. With only twelve days remaining until the June 30 resolution date, the procedural barriers to securing a House majority vote on articles remain prohibitive absent an unforeseen bipartisan trigger. Trader consensus at 99.6% for no impeachment by the deadline reflects this institutional and timeline reality, though a late-breaking crisis capable of fracturing Republican support could theoretically alter the path before the window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$448,469 Vol.
$448,469 Vol.
$448,469 Vol.
$448,469 Vol.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Republicans hold narrow majorities in both chambers of Congress, with no active impeachment inquiry or floor proceedings underway against President Trump. House Democratic leadership has signaled it is not prioritizing articles of impeachment ahead of the November midterms, and past resolutions introduced by individual Democrats have not advanced. With only twelve days remaining until the June 30 resolution date, the procedural barriers to securing a House majority vote on articles remain prohibitive absent an unforeseen bipartisan trigger. Trader consensus at 99.6% for no impeachment by the deadline reflects this institutional and timeline reality, though a late-breaking crisis capable of fracturing Republican support could theoretically alter the path before the window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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