The Bureau of Labor Statistics' September 11 release confirmed August 2026 core CPI at 2.4% year-over-year, matching consensus forecasts and marking a 0.1 percentage point decline from July's 2.5% print. This outcome aligned with expectations for a 0.3% month-over-month increase and reflected continued moderation in underlying price pressures, particularly in core goods, while shelter costs remained a steady contributor. Trader consensus on Polymarket coalesced around the 2.4% outcome as the official figure became available, underscoring the market's reliance on verified BLS data rather than forecasts. Only an unexpected data revision or reporting anomaly could alter the resolution, though such adjustments are historically infrequent and typically minor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2.4% 100.0%
≤2.0% <1%
2.1% <1%
2.2% <1%
$35,405 Vol.
$35,405 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤2.0%
No
2.1%
No
2.2%
No
2.3%
No
2.4%
Yes
2.5%
No
2.6%
No
2.7%
No
2.8%
No
≥2.9%
No
2.4% 100.0%
≤2.0% <1%
2.1% <1%
2.2% <1%
$35,405 Vol.
$35,405 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤2.0%
$781 Vol.
No
2.1%
$845 Vol.
No
2.2%
$2,063 Vol.
No
2.3%
$3,042 Vol.
No
2.4%
$17,006 Vol.
Yes
2.5%
$5,262 Vol.
No
2.6%
$2,745 Vol.
No
2.7%
$1,432 Vol.
No
2.8%
$1,360 Vol.
No
≥2.9%
$870 Vol.
No
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The Bureau of Labor Statistics' September 11 release confirmed August 2026 core CPI at 2.4% year-over-year, matching consensus forecasts and marking a 0.1 percentage point decline from July's 2.5% print. This outcome aligned with expectations for a 0.3% month-over-month increase and reflected continued moderation in underlying price pressures, particularly in core goods, while shelter costs remained a steady contributor. Trader consensus on Polymarket coalesced around the 2.4% outcome as the official figure became available, underscoring the market's reliance on verified BLS data rather than forecasts. Only an unexpected data revision or reporting anomaly could alter the resolution, though such adjustments are historically infrequent and typically minor.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Volume
$35,405End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The Bureau of Labor Statistics' September 11 release confirmed August 2026 core CPI at 2.4% year-over-year, matching consensus forecasts and marking a 0.1 percentage point decline from July's 2.5% print. This outcome aligned with expectations for a 0.3% month-over-month increase and reflected continued moderation in underlying price pressures, particularly in core goods, while shelter costs remained a steady contributor. Trader consensus on Polymarket coalesced around the 2.4% outcome as the official figure became available, underscoring the market's reliance on verified BLS data rather than forecasts. Only an unexpected data revision or reporting anomaly could alter the resolution, though such adjustments are historically infrequent and typically minor.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$35,405End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The Bureau of Labor Statistics' September 11 release confirmed August 2026 core CPI at 2.4% year-over-year, matching consensus forecasts and marking a 0.1 percentage point decline from July's 2.5% print. This outcome aligned with expectations for a 0.3% month-over-month increase and reflected continued moderation in underlying price pressures, particularly in core goods, while shelter costs remained a steady contributor. Trader consensus on Polymarket coalesced around the 2.4% outcome as the official figure became available, underscoring the market's reliance on verified BLS data rather than forecasts. Only an unexpected data revision or reporting anomaly could alter the resolution, though such adjustments are historically infrequent and typically minor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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