Recent June 2026 data placed Japan’s core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) at 1.7% year-over-year, down from earlier 2026 readings near 2.5%, as government energy subsidies offset import cost pressures from elevated oil prices and yen weakness. The Bank of Japan’s fiscal 2026 median forecast of 2.2% for this measure underscores persistent domestic demand and wage-driven price pressures that could support a rebound once subsidies fade. With the leading 2.0-2.4% and ≤1.9% outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds, markets are pricing in uncertainty over whether underlying inflation stabilizes near the BOJ’s 2% target or remains subdued through year-end amid volatile energy and currency dynamics. Key upcoming catalysts include further monthly releases and any BOJ policy signals on rate normalization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4% 54%
≤1.9% 47%
3.0-3.4% 1.6%
2.5-2.9% 1.3%
$36,674 Vol.
$36,674 Vol.
Feb 12, 2027
≤1.9%
47%
2.0-2.4%
54%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
2%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
1%
2.0-2.4% 54%
≤1.9% 47%
3.0-3.4% 1.6%
2.5-2.9% 1.3%
$36,674 Vol.
$36,674 Vol.
Feb 12, 2027
≤1.9%
$11,113 Vol.
47%
2.0-2.4%
$14,934 Vol.
54%
2.5-2.9%
$8,356 Vol.
1%
3.0-3.4%
$663 Vol.
2%
3.5-3.9%
$719 Vol.
<1%
4.0%+
$889 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent June 2026 data placed Japan’s core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) at 1.7% year-over-year, down from earlier 2026 readings near 2.5%, as government energy subsidies offset import cost pressures from elevated oil prices and yen weakness. The Bank of Japan’s fiscal 2026 median forecast of 2.2% for this measure underscores persistent domestic demand and wage-driven price pressures that could support a rebound once subsidies fade. With the leading 2.0-2.4% and ≤1.9% outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds, markets are pricing in uncertainty over whether underlying inflation stabilizes near the BOJ’s 2% target or remains subdued through year-end amid volatile energy and currency dynamics. Key upcoming catalysts include further monthly releases and any BOJ policy signals on rate normalization.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Market Opened: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Volume
$36,674End Date
Feb 12, 2027Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent June 2026 data placed Japan’s core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) at 1.7% year-over-year, down from earlier 2026 readings near 2.5%, as government energy subsidies offset import cost pressures from elevated oil prices and yen weakness. The Bank of Japan’s fiscal 2026 median forecast of 2.2% for this measure underscores persistent domestic demand and wage-driven price pressures that could support a rebound once subsidies fade. With the leading 2.0-2.4% and ≤1.9% outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds, markets are pricing in uncertainty over whether underlying inflation stabilizes near the BOJ’s 2% target or remains subdued through year-end amid volatile energy and currency dynamics. Key upcoming catalysts include further monthly releases and any BOJ policy signals on rate normalization.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volume
$36,674End Date
Feb 12, 2027Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June 2026 data placed Japan’s core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) at 1.7% year-over-year, down from earlier 2026 readings near 2.5%, as government energy subsidies offset import cost pressures from elevated oil prices and yen weakness. The Bank of Japan’s fiscal 2026 median forecast of 2.2% for this measure underscores persistent domestic demand and wage-driven price pressures that could support a rebound once subsidies fade. With the leading 2.0-2.4% and ≤1.9% outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds, markets are pricing in uncertainty over whether underlying inflation stabilizes near the BOJ’s 2% target or remains subdued through year-end amid volatile energy and currency dynamics. Key upcoming catalysts include further monthly releases and any BOJ policy signals on rate normalization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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