**Argentina’s September 2026 monthly CPI print faces a tight contest between the 1.6-1.8% and 1.9-2.1% brackets, reflecting trader views that disinflation will hold near recent levels but could edge higher on seasonal or regulated-price effects.** August’s 1.7% MoM reading—the lowest in 14 months—followed July’s 2.1% and June’s 1.9%, with core inflation steady near 1.8% and year-to-date accumulation at 21.3%. The Central Bank’s REM survey points to 1.8% for both August and September amid a 30% 2026 annual forecast, supported by the Milei administration’s fiscal surplus, peso crawling-peg, and subdued money growth. Key swing factors include the pace of utility and transport adjustments, food-price volatility, and any shift in the exchange-rate band. The September data, due mid-October, will test whether sub-2% prints become the new baseline or face reacceleration risks from domestic demand or external shocks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArgentina Monthly Inflation - September
1.6 to 1.8% 44%
1.9 to 2.1% 43%
2.2 to 2.4% 5.7%
1.3 to 1.5% 3.8%
≤0.9%
<1%
1.0 to 1.2%
8%
1.3 to 1.5%
4%
1.6 to 1.8%
44%
1.9 to 2.1%
43%
2.2 to 2.4%
6%
2.5 to 2.7%
<1%
2.8%+
<1%
1.6 to 1.8% 44%
1.9 to 2.1% 43%
2.2 to 2.4% 5.7%
1.3 to 1.5% 3.8%
≤0.9%
<1%
1.0 to 1.2%
8%
1.3 to 1.5%
4%
1.6 to 1.8%
44%
1.9 to 2.1%
43%
2.2 to 2.4%
6%
2.5 to 2.7%
<1%
2.8%+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
Resolution Source
https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Argentina’s September 2026 monthly CPI print faces a tight contest between the 1.6-1.8% and 1.9-2.1% brackets, reflecting trader views that disinflation will hold near recent levels but could edge higher on seasonal or regulated-price effects.** August’s 1.7% MoM reading—the lowest in 14 months—followed July’s 2.1% and June’s 1.9%, with core inflation steady near 1.8% and year-to-date accumulation at 21.3%. The Central Bank’s REM survey points to 1.8% for both August and September amid a 30% 2026 annual forecast, supported by the Milei administration’s fiscal surplus, peso crawling-peg, and subdued money growth. Key swing factors include the pace of utility and transport adjustments, food-price volatility, and any shift in the exchange-rate band. The September data, due mid-October, will test whether sub-2% prints become the new baseline or face reacceleration risks from domestic demand or external shocks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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