Recent Bank of Canada projections place 2026 CPI inflation at 2.5%, up from prior estimates, after headline rates climbed above 3% in mid-2026 on elevated oil prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions before easing to 2.8% year-over-year in June. Subdued economic growth, persistent excess supply, and moderating core measures—median and trimmed-mean CPI near 1.9%—are offsetting energy-driven pressures and supporting the market's heaviest weighting on the 2.5–2.9% band. With the policy rate steady at 2.25% and population trends easing housing demand, trader-implied odds reflect expectations that inflation will converge toward the 2% target by late 2027 absent renewed commodity spikes or tariff pass-through. The July CPI release due August 17 remains a key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCanada Annual Inflation 2026
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 39.5%
3.0-3.4% 16.5%
2.0–2.4% 13.5%
3.5-3.9% 13.1%
$37,897 Vol.
$37,897 Vol.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
3%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
12%
2.0–2.4%
13%
2.5–2.9%
39%
3.0-3.4%
16%
3.5-3.9%
13%
4.0%+
1%
2.5–2.9% 39.5%
3.0-3.4% 16.5%
2.0–2.4% 13.5%
3.5-3.9% 13.1%
$37,897 Vol.
$37,897 Vol.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
$1,081 Vol.
3%
1.0–1.4%
$5,268 Vol.
5%
1.5–1.9%
$3,350 Vol.
12%
2.0–2.4%
$932 Vol.
13%
2.5–2.9%
$9,521 Vol.
39%
3.0-3.4%
$13,753 Vol.
16%
3.5-3.9%
$3,511 Vol.
13%
4.0%+
$480 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent Bank of Canada projections place 2026 CPI inflation at 2.5%, up from prior estimates, after headline rates climbed above 3% in mid-2026 on elevated oil prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions before easing to 2.8% year-over-year in June. Subdued economic growth, persistent excess supply, and moderating core measures—median and trimmed-mean CPI near 1.9%—are offsetting energy-driven pressures and supporting the market's heaviest weighting on the 2.5–2.9% band. With the policy rate steady at 2.25% and population trends easing housing demand, trader-implied odds reflect expectations that inflation will converge toward the 2% target by late 2027 absent renewed commodity spikes or tariff pass-through. The July CPI release due August 17 remains a key near-term catalyst.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volume
$37,897End Date
Jan 18, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent Bank of Canada projections place 2026 CPI inflation at 2.5%, up from prior estimates, after headline rates climbed above 3% in mid-2026 on elevated oil prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions before easing to 2.8% year-over-year in June. Subdued economic growth, persistent excess supply, and moderating core measures—median and trimmed-mean CPI near 1.9%—are offsetting energy-driven pressures and supporting the market's heaviest weighting on the 2.5–2.9% band. With the policy rate steady at 2.25% and population trends easing housing demand, trader-implied odds reflect expectations that inflation will converge toward the 2% target by late 2027 absent renewed commodity spikes or tariff pass-through. The July CPI release due August 17 remains a key near-term catalyst.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Volume
$37,897End Date
Jan 18, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Bank of Canada projections place 2026 CPI inflation at 2.5%, up from prior estimates, after headline rates climbed above 3% in mid-2026 on elevated oil prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions before easing to 2.8% year-over-year in June. Subdued economic growth, persistent excess supply, and moderating core measures—median and trimmed-mean CPI near 1.9%—are offsetting energy-driven pressures and supporting the market's heaviest weighting on the 2.5–2.9% band. With the policy rate steady at 2.25% and population trends easing housing demand, trader-implied odds reflect expectations that inflation will converge toward the 2% target by late 2027 absent renewed commodity spikes or tariff pass-through. The July CPI release due August 17 remains a key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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