Cuba’s repeated nationwide blackouts in 2026 stem from acute fuel shortages that have left its aging thermoelectric plants unable to meet demand, with the island producing only about 40 percent of required fuel. A U.S. oil embargo has sharply curtailed imports, compounding long-standing maintenance shortfalls and triggering at least five total grid collapses this year. The most recent occurred on July 14, the third in roughly two weeks, after a generating unit failure caused a sudden frequency drop that knocked the entire National Electric System offline. These outages routinely disrupt telecommunications infrastructure, producing simultaneous internet blackouts across the island. Traders are tracking whether fuel deliveries, plant repairs, or further mechanical failures shift the frequency of such events before any market resolution date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Jul 31, 2026
July 31
42%
August 31
76%
December 31
85%
$2,401 Vol.
July 31
$1,753 Vol.
42%
August 31
$474 Vol.
76%
December 31
$174 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare reports a Nationwide internet outage in Cuba, caused by a power outage, which begins any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying outage must be labeled by Cloudflare on its Cuba page (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu), under the Internet Outages section with Type “Nationwide” and Cause “Power Outage”. However, if Cloudflare changes its reporting terminology or organization, an entry with equivalent labels indicating a nationwide internet outage caused by a power outage will qualify.
A qualifying outage must begin, per Cloudflare's reported start time, by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. However, the qualifying label need not be published by then: if Cloudflare reports an outage or internet disruption which is ongoing or has ended within the previous 48 hours at 11:59 PM UTC on the listed date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM UTC on the third calendar day following the specified date to allow for confirmation of whether the incident qualifies. If no potentially qualifying outage has been reported by Cloudflare by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No” at that time.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' as soon as Cloudflare reports a qualifying outage within the applicable resolution period, including an outage whose labels are revised to qualify within that period.
The resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu).
Note: this market does not require Cuba's internet traffic volume to fall below any specific threshold. Cuba’s repeated nationwide blackouts in 2026 stem from acute fuel shortages that have left its aging thermoelectric plants unable to meet demand, with the island producing only about 40 percent of required fuel. A U.S. oil embargo has sharply curtailed imports, compounding long-standing maintenance shortfalls and triggering at least five total grid collapses this year. The most recent occurred on July 14, the third in roughly two weeks, after a generating unit failure caused a sudden frequency drop that knocked the entire National Electric System offline. These outages routinely disrupt telecommunications infrastructure, producing simultaneous internet blackouts across the island. Traders are tracking whether fuel deliveries, plant repairs, or further mechanical failures shift the frequency of such events before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare reports a Nationwide internet outage in Cuba, caused by a power outage, which begins any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying outage must be labeled by Cloudflare on its Cuba page (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu), under the Internet Outages section with Type “Nationwide” and Cause “Power Outage”. However, if Cloudflare changes its reporting terminology or organization, an entry with equivalent labels indicating a nationwide internet outage caused by a power outage will qualify.
A qualifying outage must begin, per Cloudflare's reported start time, by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. However, the qualifying label need not be published by then: if Cloudflare reports an outage or internet disruption which is ongoing or has ended within the previous 48 hours at 11:59 PM UTC on the listed date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM UTC on the third calendar day following the specified date to allow for confirmation of whether the incident qualifies. If no potentially qualifying outage has been reported by Cloudflare by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No” at that time.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' as soon as Cloudflare reports a qualifying outage within the applicable resolution period, including an outage whose labels are revised to qualify within that period.
The resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu).
Note: this market does not require Cuba's internet traffic volume to fall below any specific threshold.
A qualifying outage must be labeled by Cloudflare on its Cuba page (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu), under the Internet Outages section with Type “Nationwide” and Cause “Power Outage”. However, if Cloudflare changes its reporting terminology or organization, an entry with equivalent labels indicating a nationwide internet outage caused by a power outage will qualify.
A qualifying outage must begin, per Cloudflare's reported start time, by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. However, the qualifying label need not be published by then: if Cloudflare reports an outage or internet disruption which is ongoing or has ended within the previous 48 hours at 11:59 PM UTC on the listed date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM UTC on the third calendar day following the specified date to allow for confirmation of whether the incident qualifies. If no potentially qualifying outage has been reported by Cloudflare by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No” at that time.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' as soon as Cloudflare reports a qualifying outage within the applicable resolution period, including an outage whose labels are revised to qualify within that period.
The resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu).
Note: this market does not require Cuba's internet traffic volume to fall below any specific threshold.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
Volume
$2,401End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare reports a Nationwide internet outage in Cuba, caused by a power outage, which begins any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying outage must be labeled by Cloudflare on its Cuba page (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu), under the Internet Outages section with Type “Nationwide” and Cause “Power Outage”. However, if Cloudflare changes its reporting terminology or organization, an entry with equivalent labels indicating a nationwide internet outage caused by a power outage will qualify.
A qualifying outage must begin, per Cloudflare's reported start time, by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. However, the qualifying label need not be published by then: if Cloudflare reports an outage or internet disruption which is ongoing or has ended within the previous 48 hours at 11:59 PM UTC on the listed date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM UTC on the third calendar day following the specified date to allow for confirmation of whether the incident qualifies. If no potentially qualifying outage has been reported by Cloudflare by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No” at that time.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' as soon as Cloudflare reports a qualifying outage within the applicable resolution period, including an outage whose labels are revised to qualify within that period.
The resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu).
Note: this market does not require Cuba's internet traffic volume to fall below any specific threshold. Cuba’s repeated nationwide blackouts in 2026 stem from acute fuel shortages that have left its aging thermoelectric plants unable to meet demand, with the island producing only about 40 percent of required fuel. A U.S. oil embargo has sharply curtailed imports, compounding long-standing maintenance shortfalls and triggering at least five total grid collapses this year. The most recent occurred on July 14, the third in roughly two weeks, after a generating unit failure caused a sudden frequency drop that knocked the entire National Electric System offline. These outages routinely disrupt telecommunications infrastructure, producing simultaneous internet blackouts across the island. Traders are tracking whether fuel deliveries, plant repairs, or further mechanical failures shift the frequency of such events before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare reports a Nationwide internet outage in Cuba, caused by a power outage, which begins any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying outage must be labeled by Cloudflare on its Cuba page (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu), under the Internet Outages section with Type “Nationwide” and Cause “Power Outage”. However, if Cloudflare changes its reporting terminology or organization, an entry with equivalent labels indicating a nationwide internet outage caused by a power outage will qualify.
A qualifying outage must begin, per Cloudflare's reported start time, by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. However, the qualifying label need not be published by then: if Cloudflare reports an outage or internet disruption which is ongoing or has ended within the previous 48 hours at 11:59 PM UTC on the listed date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM UTC on the third calendar day following the specified date to allow for confirmation of whether the incident qualifies. If no potentially qualifying outage has been reported by Cloudflare by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No” at that time.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' as soon as Cloudflare reports a qualifying outage within the applicable resolution period, including an outage whose labels are revised to qualify within that period.
The resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu).
Note: this market does not require Cuba's internet traffic volume to fall below any specific threshold.
A qualifying outage must be labeled by Cloudflare on its Cuba page (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu), under the Internet Outages section with Type “Nationwide” and Cause “Power Outage”. However, if Cloudflare changes its reporting terminology or organization, an entry with equivalent labels indicating a nationwide internet outage caused by a power outage will qualify.
A qualifying outage must begin, per Cloudflare's reported start time, by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. However, the qualifying label need not be published by then: if Cloudflare reports an outage or internet disruption which is ongoing or has ended within the previous 48 hours at 11:59 PM UTC on the listed date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM UTC on the third calendar day following the specified date to allow for confirmation of whether the incident qualifies. If no potentially qualifying outage has been reported by Cloudflare by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No” at that time.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' as soon as Cloudflare reports a qualifying outage within the applicable resolution period, including an outage whose labels are revised to qualify within that period.
The resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu).
Note: this market does not require Cuba's internet traffic volume to fall below any specific threshold.
Volume
$2,401End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cuba’s repeated nationwide blackouts in 2026 stem from acute fuel shortages that have left its aging thermoelectric plants unable to meet demand, with the island producing only about 40 percent of required fuel. A U.S. oil embargo has sharply curtailed imports, compounding long-standing maintenance shortfalls and triggering at least five total grid collapses this year. The most recent occurred on July 14, the third in roughly two weeks, after a generating unit failure caused a sudden frequency drop that knocked the entire National Electric System offline. These outages routinely disrupt telecommunications infrastructure, producing simultaneous internet blackouts across the island. Traders are tracking whether fuel deliveries, plant repairs, or further mechanical failures shift the frequency of such events before any market resolution date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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