David Jolly maintains a commanding lead in the Florida Democratic primary for governor due to his early entry as a former Republican congressman who switched parties in 2025, combined with broad name recognition, a sizable fundraising and organizational edge, and polling that shows him ahead by more than 30 points among likely voters. Jerry Demings withdrew earlier amid health concerns, leaving lower-profile candidates such as Dotie Joseph and several others with minimal support. The August 18 primary date leaves limited time for shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around Jolly as the presumptive nominee. A late-breaking scandal, unexpected health development, or unusually high undecided turnout could still alter the outcome, though current evidence points to stable positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDavid Jolly 98.3%
Jerry Demings <1%
Daniella Levine Cava <1%
Gwen Graham <1%
$43,375 Vol.
$43,375 Vol.

David Jolly
98%

Jerry Demings
1%

Daniella Levine Cava
<1%

Gwen Graham
<1%

Jason Pizzo
<1%

Shevrin Jones
<1%

Angie Nixon
<1%

Fentrice Driskell
<1%
David Jolly 98.3%
Jerry Demings <1%
Daniella Levine Cava <1%
Gwen Graham <1%
$43,375 Vol.
$43,375 Vol.

David Jolly
98%

Jerry Demings
1%

Daniella Levine Cava
<1%

Gwen Graham
<1%

Jason Pizzo
<1%

Shevrin Jones
<1%

Angie Nixon
<1%

Fentrice Driskell
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 25, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...David Jolly maintains a commanding lead in the Florida Democratic primary for governor due to his early entry as a former Republican congressman who switched parties in 2025, combined with broad name recognition, a sizable fundraising and organizational edge, and polling that shows him ahead by more than 30 points among likely voters. Jerry Demings withdrew earlier amid health concerns, leaving lower-profile candidates such as Dotie Joseph and several others with minimal support. The August 18 primary date leaves limited time for shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around Jolly as the presumptive nominee. A late-breaking scandal, unexpected health development, or unusually high undecided turnout could still alter the outcome, though current evidence points to stable positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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