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icon for Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner

David Jolly 84%

Jerry Demings 14.3%

Fentrice Driskell 2.4%

Gwen Graham <1%

Polymarket

$15,795 Vol.

David Jolly 84%

Jerry Demings 14.3%

Fentrice Driskell 2.4%

Gwen Graham <1%

Polymarket

$15,795 Vol.

David Jolly

$6,056 Vol.

84%

Jerry Demings

$1,426 Vol.

14%

Fentrice Driskell

$620 Vol.

2%

Gwen Graham

$703 Vol.

1%

Shevrin Jones

$918 Vol.

1%

Jason Pizzo

$818 Vol.

1%

Daniella Levine Cava

$954 Vol.

<1%

Angie Nixon

$4,300 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors former U.S. Rep. David Jolly to win Florida's August 18 Democratic primary for governor at 83.5%, driven by his consistent polling leads, fundraising dominance, and appeal as a moderate ex-Republican in a competitive open-seat race. Recent April Emerson College polling showed Jolly at 21% support among decided Democratic primary voters versus Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings' 10%, with 53% undecided, signaling potential consolidation behind the frontrunner amid Democratic momentum from early April special legislative election wins that spurred Jolly's $900,000 weekly haul. Demings holds second at 14.2% on his local profile as ex-sheriff, while state legislators like Fentrice Driskell, Shevrin Jones, and Jason Pizzo trail due to lower name recognition and resources ahead of June qualifying. Stetson surveys highlight Jolly's viability against GOP leader Byron Donalds, bolstering primary positioning.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$15,795
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors former U.S. Rep. David Jolly to win Florida's August 18 Democratic primary for governor at 83.5%, driven by his consistent polling leads, fundraising dominance, and appeal as a moderate ex-Republican in a competitive open-seat race. Recent April Emerson College polling showed Jolly at 21% support among decided Democratic primary voters versus Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings' 10%, with 53% undecided, signaling potential consolidation behind the frontrunner amid Democratic momentum from early April special legislative election wins that spurred Jolly's $900,000 weekly haul. Demings holds second at 14.2% on his local profile as ex-sheriff, while state legislators like Fentrice Driskell, Shevrin Jones, and Jason Pizzo trail due to lower name recognition and resources ahead of June qualifying. Stetson surveys highlight Jolly's viability against GOP leader Byron Donalds, bolstering primary positioning.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$15,795
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Jolly" at 84%, followed by "Jerry Demings" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $15.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "David Jolly" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jerry Demings" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.