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icon for Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?

160-179 56%

180-199 28%

140-159 11.3%

200-219 3.8%

Polymarket

$1,848,059 Vol.

160-179 56%

180-199 28%

140-159 11.3%

200-219 3.8%

Polymarket

$1,848,059 Vol.

140-159

$272,223 Vol.

11%

160-179

$158,550 Vol.

56%

180-199

$122,014 Vol.

28%

200-219

$115,971 Vol.

4%

220-239

$97,196 Vol.

1%

240-259

$127,676 Vol.

<1%

260-279

$108,242 Vol.

<1%

280-299

$91,008 Vol.

<1%

300-319

$83,049 Vol.

<1%

320-339

$43,368 Vol.

<1%

340-359

$42,323 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$29,969 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$25,087 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$22,118 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$15,300 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$15,044 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$6,196 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$5,696 Vol.

<1%

500+

$43,869 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's tweet volume on X during the August 11-18 window reflects his typical baseline activity amid routine company updates and commentary, with traders positioning the 160-179 range as the clear leader due to consistent daily output without major breaking events spiking engagement. Recent days show steady posting tied to Tesla and SpaceX developments rather than viral controversies or political escalations that historically push counts above 200 in a week. The tight clustering around 160-199 implies market consensus on moderate momentum, consistent with historical patterns for mid-August periods lacking high-stakes launches or public disputes. Upcoming chart or announcement cycles could still shift final tallies before the period closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,848,059
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's tweet volume on X during the August 11-18 window reflects his typical baseline activity amid routine company updates and commentary, with traders positioning the 160-179 range as the clear leader due to consistent daily output without major breaking events spiking engagement. Recent days show steady posting tied to Tesla and SpaceX developments rather than viral controversies or political escalations that historically push counts above 200 in a week. The tight clustering around 160-199 implies market consensus on moderate momentum, consistent with historical patterns for mid-August periods lacking high-stakes launches or public disputes. Upcoming chart or announcement cycles could still shift final tallies before the period closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,848,059
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "160-179" at 56%, followed by "180-199" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?" has generated $1.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?" is "160-179" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "180-199" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.