Recent numerical weather forecasts for Ankara indicate a maximum temperature of 27–28°C on June 11 under predominantly clear skies and typical early-summer high-pressure patterns, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 41.5% for 27°C, 26.5% for 26°C, and 25.5% for 28°C. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather places daily highs in this narrow range, consistent with June climatology of roughly 25–28°C, while limited moisture and light winds reduce variability. Traders appear to weigh small uncertainties in local model runs and potential microscale influences that could shift the peak by 1°C, keeping probabilities concentrated around these three values ahead of final observational confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on June 11?
27°C 43%
26°C 25%
28°C 25%
29°C 4.0%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
25%
27°C
43%
28°C
25%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 43%
26°C 25%
28°C 25%
29°C 4.0%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
25%
27°C
43%
28°C
25%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather forecasts for Ankara indicate a maximum temperature of 27–28°C on June 11 under predominantly clear skies and typical early-summer high-pressure patterns, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 41.5% for 27°C, 26.5% for 26°C, and 25.5% for 28°C. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather places daily highs in this narrow range, consistent with June climatology of roughly 25–28°C, while limited moisture and light winds reduce variability. Traders appear to weigh small uncertainties in local model runs and potential microscale influences that could shift the peak by 1°C, keeping probabilities concentrated around these three values ahead of final observational confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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