Latest forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles point to mostly clear skies and light southwest winds over Karachi on September 20, supporting daytime maxima in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-monsoon humidity near 50-60%. The spread in market-implied odds across 34–38°C captures uncertainty in exact steering patterns and any residual cloud cover that could cap heating, with 36°C currently favored by the narrowest cluster of runs. Key variables include sea-surface temperatures in the northern Arabian Sea modulating moisture influx, afternoon wind speeds that enhance or suppress mixing, and precise timing of any diurnal heating peak. Official station readings from the Karachi airport or city center will determine resolution, with updated model guidance expected through the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on September 20?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 20?
36°C 31%
37°C 21%
38°C 19%
34°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
6%
34°C
16%
35°C
16%
36°C
31%
37°C
21%
38°C
19%
39°C
9%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 31%
37°C 21%
38°C 19%
34°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
32°C or below
$4 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$0 Vol.
6%
34°C
$0 Vol.
16%
35°C
$0 Vol.
16%
36°C
$25 Vol.
31%
37°C
$0 Vol.
21%
38°C
$0 Vol.
19%
39°C
$90 Vol.
9%
40°C
$0 Vol.
2%
41°C
$0 Vol.
1%
42°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles point to mostly clear skies and light southwest winds over Karachi on September 20, supporting daytime maxima in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-monsoon humidity near 50-60%. The spread in market-implied odds across 34–38°C captures uncertainty in exact steering patterns and any residual cloud cover that could cap heating, with 36°C currently favored by the narrowest cluster of runs. Key variables include sea-surface temperatures in the northern Arabian Sea modulating moisture influx, afternoon wind speeds that enhance or suppress mixing, and precise timing of any diurnal heating peak. Official station readings from the Karachi airport or city center will determine resolution, with updated model guidance expected through the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$30End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles point to mostly clear skies and light southwest winds over Karachi on September 20, supporting daytime maxima in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-monsoon humidity near 50-60%. The spread in market-implied odds across 34–38°C captures uncertainty in exact steering patterns and any residual cloud cover that could cap heating, with 36°C currently favored by the narrowest cluster of runs. Key variables include sea-surface temperatures in the northern Arabian Sea modulating moisture influx, afternoon wind speeds that enhance or suppress mixing, and precise timing of any diurnal heating peak. Official station readings from the Karachi airport or city center will determine resolution, with updated model guidance expected through the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles point to mostly clear skies and light southwest winds over Karachi on September 20, supporting daytime maxima in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-monsoon humidity near 50-60%. The spread in market-implied odds across 34–38°C captures uncertainty in exact steering patterns and any residual cloud cover that could cap heating, with 36°C currently favored by the narrowest cluster of runs. Key variables include sea-surface temperatures in the northern Arabian Sea modulating moisture influx, afternoon wind speeds that enhance or suppress mixing, and precise timing of any diurnal heating peak. Official station readings from the Karachi airport or city center will determine resolution, with updated model guidance expected through the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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