Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 17 call for a high near 92°F under partly sunny skies with a 40-50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, consistent with the market's leading 90-93°F outcomes. Persistent late-summer heat and humidity across the region, following several days of mid- to upper-90s readings, provide the baseline for these levels, while increased cloud cover, easterly winds, and potential convective activity introduce variability that could cap the daily maximum. Model consensus from NOAA emphasizes this balance between seasonal subtropical patterns and short-term moisture influences, with heat indices exceeding 105°F underscoring the underlying warmth even if storms moderate peak air temperatures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 17?
90-91°F 45%
92-93°F 28%
88-89°F 15%
86-87°F 6%
NEW
$16,011 Vol.
NEW
$16,011 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
45%
92-93°F
28%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 45%
92-93°F 28%
88-89°F 15%
86-87°F 6%
NEW
$16,011 Vol.
NEW
$16,011 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
79°F or below
$319 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$329 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$277 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,205 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$2,855 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$4,210 Vol.
15%
90-91°F
$3,295 Vol.
45%
92-93°F
$2,321 Vol.
28%
94-95°F
$1,026 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$205 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$189 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 17 call for a high near 92°F under partly sunny skies with a 40-50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, consistent with the market's leading 90-93°F outcomes. Persistent late-summer heat and humidity across the region, following several days of mid- to upper-90s readings, provide the baseline for these levels, while increased cloud cover, easterly winds, and potential convective activity introduce variability that could cap the daily maximum. Model consensus from NOAA emphasizes this balance between seasonal subtropical patterns and short-term moisture influences, with heat indices exceeding 105°F underscoring the underlying warmth even if storms moderate peak air temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$16,011End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 17 call for a high near 92°F under partly sunny skies with a 40-50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, consistent with the market's leading 90-93°F outcomes. Persistent late-summer heat and humidity across the region, following several days of mid- to upper-90s readings, provide the baseline for these levels, while increased cloud cover, easterly winds, and potential convective activity introduce variability that could cap the daily maximum. Model consensus from NOAA emphasizes this balance between seasonal subtropical patterns and short-term moisture influences, with heat indices exceeding 105°F underscoring the underlying warmth even if storms moderate peak air temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,011End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 17 call for a high near 92°F under partly sunny skies with a 40-50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, consistent with the market's leading 90-93°F outcomes. Persistent late-summer heat and humidity across the region, following several days of mid- to upper-90s readings, provide the baseline for these levels, while increased cloud cover, easterly winds, and potential convective activity introduce variability that could cap the daily maximum. Model consensus from NOAA emphasizes this balance between seasonal subtropical patterns and short-term moisture influences, with heat indices exceeding 105°F underscoring the underlying warmth even if storms moderate peak air temperatures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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