Forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate a daytime maximum near 31°C on September 16 under typical wet-season conditions driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and light variable winds that limit strong mixing. Trader emphasis on 32–33°C outcomes captures model uncertainty around afternoon cloud cover and convective timing—earlier or heavier showers could suppress the peak, while brief clearing allows brief warming. High humidity near 80–90% keeps heat indices elevated even if the dry-bulb maximum stays modest. With September climatological highs averaging 30°C, the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects modest recent warmth and the narrow window for resolution criteria. Overnight model updates will clarify steering patterns and moisture profiles before final settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 16?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 16?
33°C 39%
32°C 35%
35°C or higher 16%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
5%
31°C
13%
32°C
35%
33°C
39%
34°C
9%
35°C or higher
16%
33°C 39%
32°C 35%
35°C or higher 16%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
$491 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$256 Vol.
1%
27°C
$276 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$1,097 Vol.
5%
31°C
$1,538 Vol.
13%
32°C
$1,485 Vol.
35%
33°C
$1,824 Vol.
39%
34°C
$0 Vol.
9%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate a daytime maximum near 31°C on September 16 under typical wet-season conditions driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and light variable winds that limit strong mixing. Trader emphasis on 32–33°C outcomes captures model uncertainty around afternoon cloud cover and convective timing—earlier or heavier showers could suppress the peak, while brief clearing allows brief warming. High humidity near 80–90% keeps heat indices elevated even if the dry-bulb maximum stays modest. With September climatological highs averaging 30°C, the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects modest recent warmth and the narrow window for resolution criteria. Overnight model updates will clarify steering patterns and moisture profiles before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,967End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate a daytime maximum near 31°C on September 16 under typical wet-season conditions driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and light variable winds that limit strong mixing. Trader emphasis on 32–33°C outcomes captures model uncertainty around afternoon cloud cover and convective timing—earlier or heavier showers could suppress the peak, while brief clearing allows brief warming. High humidity near 80–90% keeps heat indices elevated even if the dry-bulb maximum stays modest. With September climatological highs averaging 30°C, the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects modest recent warmth and the narrow window for resolution criteria. Overnight model updates will clarify steering patterns and moisture profiles before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,967End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate a daytime maximum near 31°C on September 16 under typical wet-season conditions driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and light variable winds that limit strong mixing. Trader emphasis on 32–33°C outcomes captures model uncertainty around afternoon cloud cover and convective timing—earlier or heavier showers could suppress the peak, while brief clearing allows brief warming. High humidity near 80–90% keeps heat indices elevated even if the dry-bulb maximum stays modest. With September climatological highs averaging 30°C, the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects modest recent warmth and the narrow window for resolution criteria. Overnight model updates will clarify steering patterns and moisture profiles before final settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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