Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 15 indicate a high near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with a 70-80% chance of light to moderate rain, consistent with the historical September 15 average of 32.0°C from 1991-2020 records. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation, driven by regional monsoon patterns and the Pearl River Delta's humidity, limit daytime heating and keep maxima clustered around 31-33°C, while any earlier clearing or reduced rainfall could allow brief spikes toward 34-35°C. Model consensus shows low wind and stable pressure, reducing variability but leaving room for timing shifts in showers that differentiate the closely matched 32-34°C outcomes in trader sentiment. Updated numerical weather predictions expected over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 15?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 15?
32°C 25%
34°C 25%
33°C 19%
35°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
27°C or below
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
11%
32°C
25%
33°C
19%
34°C
25%
35°C
16%
36°C
9%
37°C or higher
4%
32°C 25%
34°C 25%
33°C 19%
35°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
27°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
28°C
$10 Vol.
2%
29°C
$9 Vol.
3%
30°C
$50 Vol.
5%
31°C
$17 Vol.
11%
32°C
$0 Vol.
25%
33°C
$0 Vol.
19%
34°C
$0 Vol.
25%
35°C
$0 Vol.
16%
36°C
$27 Vol.
9%
37°C or higher
$10 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 15 indicate a high near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with a 70-80% chance of light to moderate rain, consistent with the historical September 15 average of 32.0°C from 1991-2020 records. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation, driven by regional monsoon patterns and the Pearl River Delta's humidity, limit daytime heating and keep maxima clustered around 31-33°C, while any earlier clearing or reduced rainfall could allow brief spikes toward 34-35°C. Model consensus shows low wind and stable pressure, reducing variability but leaving room for timing shifts in showers that differentiate the closely matched 32-34°C outcomes in trader sentiment. Updated numerical weather predictions expected over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volume
$133End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 15 indicate a high near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with a 70-80% chance of light to moderate rain, consistent with the historical September 15 average of 32.0°C from 1991-2020 records. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation, driven by regional monsoon patterns and the Pearl River Delta's humidity, limit daytime heating and keep maxima clustered around 31-33°C, while any earlier clearing or reduced rainfall could allow brief spikes toward 34-35°C. Model consensus shows low wind and stable pressure, reducing variability but leaving room for timing shifts in showers that differentiate the closely matched 32-34°C outcomes in trader sentiment. Updated numerical weather predictions expected over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$133End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 15 indicate a high near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with a 70-80% chance of light to moderate rain, consistent with the historical September 15 average of 32.0°C from 1991-2020 records. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation, driven by regional monsoon patterns and the Pearl River Delta's humidity, limit daytime heating and keep maxima clustered around 31-33°C, while any earlier clearing or reduced rainfall could allow brief spikes toward 34-35°C. Model consensus shows low wind and stable pressure, reducing variability but leaving room for timing shifts in showers that differentiate the closely matched 32-34°C outcomes in trader sentiment. Updated numerical weather predictions expected over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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