Recent forecast models indicate elevated cloud cover and precipitation chances exceeding 80% for Guangzhou on September 14, which are expected to reduce solar heating and cap the daily maximum near or below the 32°C climatological average. Multiple runs show highs of 30–32°C amid scattered showers and high humidity, consistent with steering patterns favoring moisture influx from the south. This aligns with trader emphasis on the closely matched 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as small variations in shower timing or intensity could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical records for the date range from 25°C to 36°C, underscoring sensitivity to synoptic conditions, with updated model guidance due before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
33°C 32%
32°C 26%
34°C 20%
31°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
11%
32°C
26%
33°C
32%
34°C
20%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 32%
32°C 26%
34°C 20%
31°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
$493 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$284 Vol.
1%
28°C
$147 Vol.
1%
29°C
$51 Vol.
2%
30°C
$373 Vol.
7%
31°C
$426 Vol.
11%
32°C
$288 Vol.
26%
33°C
$140 Vol.
32%
34°C
$557 Vol.
20%
35°C
$1,337 Vol.
4%
36°C or higher
$306 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate elevated cloud cover and precipitation chances exceeding 80% for Guangzhou on September 14, which are expected to reduce solar heating and cap the daily maximum near or below the 32°C climatological average. Multiple runs show highs of 30–32°C amid scattered showers and high humidity, consistent with steering patterns favoring moisture influx from the south. This aligns with trader emphasis on the closely matched 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as small variations in shower timing or intensity could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical records for the date range from 25°C to 36°C, underscoring sensitivity to synoptic conditions, with updated model guidance due before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,379End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate elevated cloud cover and precipitation chances exceeding 80% for Guangzhou on September 14, which are expected to reduce solar heating and cap the daily maximum near or below the 32°C climatological average. Multiple runs show highs of 30–32°C amid scattered showers and high humidity, consistent with steering patterns favoring moisture influx from the south. This aligns with trader emphasis on the closely matched 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as small variations in shower timing or intensity could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical records for the date range from 25°C to 36°C, underscoring sensitivity to synoptic conditions, with updated model guidance due before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,379End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate elevated cloud cover and precipitation chances exceeding 80% for Guangzhou on September 14, which are expected to reduce solar heating and cap the daily maximum near or below the 32°C climatological average. Multiple runs show highs of 30–32°C amid scattered showers and high humidity, consistent with steering patterns favoring moisture influx from the south. This aligns with trader emphasis on the closely matched 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as small variations in shower timing or intensity could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical records for the date range from 25°C to 36°C, underscoring sensitivity to synoptic conditions, with updated model guidance due before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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