Current forecast consensus from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models points to a daily maximum of 30–32°C in Taipei on September 14, driven by easterly flow, moderate humidity, and scattered showers that could cap afternoon heating. Recent observations show daytime peaks near 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies, while climatological baselines for mid-September average around 31°C. Model spread and timing of any rain bands create the tight market clustering around 32°C and 33°C, with lower probabilities for 34°C+ reflecting limited intensification potential absent stronger subsidence. Updated CWA guidance and high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on September 14?
32°C 33%
33°C 27%
31°C 20%
34°C 13%
27°C or below
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
12%
31°C
20%
32°C
33%
33°C
27%
34°C
13%
35°C
4%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
3%
32°C 33%
33°C 27%
31°C 20%
34°C 13%
27°C or below
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
12%
31°C
20%
32°C
33%
33°C
27%
34°C
13%
35°C
4%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models points to a daily maximum of 30–32°C in Taipei on September 14, driven by easterly flow, moderate humidity, and scattered showers that could cap afternoon heating. Recent observations show daytime peaks near 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies, while climatological baselines for mid-September average around 31°C. Model spread and timing of any rain bands create the tight market clustering around 32°C and 33°C, with lower probabilities for 34°C+ reflecting limited intensification potential absent stronger subsidence. Updated CWA guidance and high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions