Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily high near 31–32°C in Manila on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms associated with the southwest monsoon and localized convective activity. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, capping afternoon temperatures despite typical September climatology of 31–32°C. Light winds and high humidity near 80% further moderate extremes, while any breaks in cloud cover could allow brief warming toward 33°C. PAGASA monitoring and updated global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak, with trader positioning reflecting this narrow range of uncertainty between partly cloudy stabilization and stronger convective suppression.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on September 14?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 14?
32°C 37%
33°C 26%
31°C 22%
34°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
6%
31°C
22%
32°C
37%
33°C
28%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
32°C 37%
33°C 26%
31°C 22%
34°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$15 Vol.
5%
30°C
$25 Vol.
6%
31°C
$77 Vol.
22%
32°C
$366 Vol.
37%
33°C
$70 Vol.
28%
34°C
$10 Vol.
7%
35°C
$0 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily high near 31–32°C in Manila on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms associated with the southwest monsoon and localized convective activity. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, capping afternoon temperatures despite typical September climatology of 31–32°C. Light winds and high humidity near 80% further moderate extremes, while any breaks in cloud cover could allow brief warming toward 33°C. PAGASA monitoring and updated global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak, with trader positioning reflecting this narrow range of uncertainty between partly cloudy stabilization and stronger convective suppression.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$563End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily high near 31–32°C in Manila on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms associated with the southwest monsoon and localized convective activity. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, capping afternoon temperatures despite typical September climatology of 31–32°C. Light winds and high humidity near 80% further moderate extremes, while any breaks in cloud cover could allow brief warming toward 33°C. PAGASA monitoring and updated global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak, with trader positioning reflecting this narrow range of uncertainty between partly cloudy stabilization and stronger convective suppression.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$563End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily high near 31–32°C in Manila on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms associated with the southwest monsoon and localized convective activity. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, capping afternoon temperatures despite typical September climatology of 31–32°C. Light winds and high humidity near 80% further moderate extremes, while any breaks in cloud cover could allow brief warming toward 33°C. PAGASA monitoring and updated global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak, with trader positioning reflecting this narrow range of uncertainty between partly cloudy stabilization and stronger convective suppression.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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