Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-influenced sources, indicate a high near 26–27°C for Incheon on September 14 under partly cloudy skies with northwest winds of 5–8 m/s. These conditions follow overnight lows around 17–20°C and favor modest daytime warming without strong solar heating or moisture. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance cluster around 26°C as the most probable peak, with limited upside to 27°C due to timing of clearing and wind effects, while downside risk to 25°C remains if clouds linger longer. Trader consensus reflected in the market odds aligns with this model consensus and historical September variability for the region.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
26°C 48%
25°C 29%
27°C 13%
24°C 10%
$11,434 Vol.
$11,434 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
10%
25°C
29%
26°C
48%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
25°C 29%
27°C 13%
24°C 10%
$11,434 Vol.
$11,434 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
10%
25°C
29%
26°C
48%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-influenced sources, indicate a high near 26–27°C for Incheon on September 14 under partly cloudy skies with northwest winds of 5–8 m/s. These conditions follow overnight lows around 17–20°C and favor modest daytime warming without strong solar heating or moisture. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance cluster around 26°C as the most probable peak, with limited upside to 27°C due to timing of clearing and wind effects, while downside risk to 25°C remains if clouds linger longer. Trader consensus reflected in the market odds aligns with this model consensus and historical September variability for the region.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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