Trader consensus on the Seoul (Incheon) September 14 minimum temperature centers on 19°C and 20°C given closely matched implied probabilities, driven by official Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model guidance showing overnight lows near 18–19°C under partly cloudy to clearing skies with northwest winds of 5–10 km/h promoting modest radiative cooling. Sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea and limited cloud cover reduce the likelihood of sharper drops below 18°C, while any delay in clearing or lighter winds could push the reading toward 20°C. Historical September baselines around 17–18°C provide context, but current conditions and short-range model agreement keep lower outcomes at low market-implied odds ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
19°C 44%
20°C 39%
18°C 14%
16°C 1.5%
NEW
$10,832 Vol.
NEW
$10,832 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
14%
19°C
44%
20°C
39%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 44%
20°C 39%
18°C 14%
16°C 1.5%
NEW
$10,832 Vol.
NEW
$10,832 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
$419 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$494 Vol.
2%
17°C
$460 Vol.
2%
18°C
$950 Vol.
14%
19°C
$5,739 Vol.
44%
20°C
$1,240 Vol.
39%
21°C
$273 Vol.
1%
22°C
$256 Vol.
1%
23°C
$438 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$329 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Seoul (Incheon) September 14 minimum temperature centers on 19°C and 20°C given closely matched implied probabilities, driven by official Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model guidance showing overnight lows near 18–19°C under partly cloudy to clearing skies with northwest winds of 5–10 km/h promoting modest radiative cooling. Sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea and limited cloud cover reduce the likelihood of sharper drops below 18°C, while any delay in clearing or lighter winds could push the reading toward 20°C. Historical September baselines around 17–18°C provide context, but current conditions and short-range model agreement keep lower outcomes at low market-implied odds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$10,832End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Seoul (Incheon) September 14 minimum temperature centers on 19°C and 20°C given closely matched implied probabilities, driven by official Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model guidance showing overnight lows near 18–19°C under partly cloudy to clearing skies with northwest winds of 5–10 km/h promoting modest radiative cooling. Sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea and limited cloud cover reduce the likelihood of sharper drops below 18°C, while any delay in clearing or lighter winds could push the reading toward 20°C. Historical September baselines around 17–18°C provide context, but current conditions and short-range model agreement keep lower outcomes at low market-implied odds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,832End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Seoul (Incheon) September 14 minimum temperature centers on 19°C and 20°C given closely matched implied probabilities, driven by official Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model guidance showing overnight lows near 18–19°C under partly cloudy to clearing skies with northwest winds of 5–10 km/h promoting modest radiative cooling. Sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea and limited cloud cover reduce the likelihood of sharper drops below 18°C, while any delay in clearing or lighter winds could push the reading toward 20°C. Historical September baselines around 17–18°C provide context, but current conditions and short-range model agreement keep lower outcomes at low market-implied odds ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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