Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 16 clusters tightly around 25–26°C because overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered showers produces only modest differences in minimum readings. High humidity near 80–90% and light winds limit temperature drops after sunset, while brief rain events or thicker cloud decks can suppress lows by 1–2°C through reduced longwave radiation loss. Current model guidance shows overnight minima near 25°C under partly cloudy conditions typical of the wet season, with small forecast spreads arising from timing of convective activity and exact station measurement criteria. Updated observations from official Panamanian meteorological networks will refine these close probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 16?
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
27°C 40%
28°C 40%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
19%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
38%
26°C
37%
27°C
40%
28°C
40%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
6%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
27°C 40%
28°C 40%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
19%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
38%
26°C
37%
27°C
40%
28°C
40%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 16 clusters tightly around 25–26°C because overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered showers produces only modest differences in minimum readings. High humidity near 80–90% and light winds limit temperature drops after sunset, while brief rain events or thicker cloud decks can suppress lows by 1–2°C through reduced longwave radiation loss. Current model guidance shows overnight minima near 25°C under partly cloudy conditions typical of the wet season, with small forecast spreads arising from timing of convective activity and exact station measurement criteria. Updated observations from official Panamanian meteorological networks will refine these close probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions