Recent northeasterly winds and scattered showers have moderated temperatures across northern Taiwan, keeping overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius according to Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation reduce radiative cooling overnight while limiting daytime heating, creating tight clustering around 23–25°C minima for September 18. Historical mid-September baselines in Taipei average near 24°C, but variations in wind mixing, dew point depression, and exact shower timing introduce uncertainty across forecast runs. Traders appear to weigh the risk of cooler boundary-layer conditions against model consensus favoring stable mild air, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on September 18?
20°C or below 77%
24°C 40%
23°C 39%
26°C 39%
20°C or below
77%
21°C
38%
22°C
38%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
30%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
29%
29°C
29%
30°C or higher
34%
20°C or below 77%
24°C 40%
23°C 39%
26°C 39%
20°C or below
77%
21°C
38%
22°C
38%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
30%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
29%
29°C
29%
30°C or higher
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northeasterly winds and scattered showers have moderated temperatures across northern Taiwan, keeping overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius according to Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation reduce radiative cooling overnight while limiting daytime heating, creating tight clustering around 23–25°C minima for September 18. Historical mid-September baselines in Taipei average near 24°C, but variations in wind mixing, dew point depression, and exact shower timing introduce uncertainty across forecast runs. Traders appear to weigh the risk of cooler boundary-layer conditions against model consensus favoring stable mild air, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions