Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh are the main factors capping daytime heating in Lucknow on September 16, keeping maximum temperatures near 32°C according to the latest India Meteorological Department guidance of 34°C with light rain possible. Recent observations show highs of 33–34°C amid thundery showers and high humidity near 85%, while numerical models diverge modestly on rainfall timing and intensity that could further suppress peaks. Trader consensus reflected in the 61% implied probability for 32°C aligns with climatological September averages around 32–33°C and the moderating influence of easterly moisture flow, though any delay in showers or clearer breaks could push readings to 33°C or above. Updated IMD nowcasts and short-range model runs expected overnight will provide the next key inputs for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 16?
32°C 60%
31°C 20%
33°C or higher 18%
29°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
20%
32°C
60%
33°C or higher
18%
32°C 60%
31°C 20%
33°C or higher 18%
29°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
$635 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$840 Vol.
1%
26°C
$256 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$272 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$287 Vol.
4%
30°C
$366 Vol.
4%
31°C
$484 Vol.
20%
32°C
$1,110 Vol.
60%
33°C or higher
$815 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh are the main factors capping daytime heating in Lucknow on September 16, keeping maximum temperatures near 32°C according to the latest India Meteorological Department guidance of 34°C with light rain possible. Recent observations show highs of 33–34°C amid thundery showers and high humidity near 85%, while numerical models diverge modestly on rainfall timing and intensity that could further suppress peaks. Trader consensus reflected in the 61% implied probability for 32°C aligns with climatological September averages around 32–33°C and the moderating influence of easterly moisture flow, though any delay in showers or clearer breaks could push readings to 33°C or above. Updated IMD nowcasts and short-range model runs expected overnight will provide the next key inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,304End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh are the main factors capping daytime heating in Lucknow on September 16, keeping maximum temperatures near 32°C according to the latest India Meteorological Department guidance of 34°C with light rain possible. Recent observations show highs of 33–34°C amid thundery showers and high humidity near 85%, while numerical models diverge modestly on rainfall timing and intensity that could further suppress peaks. Trader consensus reflected in the 61% implied probability for 32°C aligns with climatological September averages around 32–33°C and the moderating influence of easterly moisture flow, though any delay in showers or clearer breaks could push readings to 33°C or above. Updated IMD nowcasts and short-range model runs expected overnight will provide the next key inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,304End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh are the main factors capping daytime heating in Lucknow on September 16, keeping maximum temperatures near 32°C according to the latest India Meteorological Department guidance of 34°C with light rain possible. Recent observations show highs of 33–34°C amid thundery showers and high humidity near 85%, while numerical models diverge modestly on rainfall timing and intensity that could further suppress peaks. Trader consensus reflected in the 61% implied probability for 32°C aligns with climatological September averages around 32–33°C and the moderating influence of easterly moisture flow, though any delay in showers or clearer breaks could push readings to 33°C or above. Updated IMD nowcasts and short-range model runs expected overnight will provide the next key inputs for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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