National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model runs position mid-90s highs as the most likely outcome for Houston on September 16, with consensus pointing to mostly sunny skies, light east-to-southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would suppress daytime heating. Current conditions feature above-average warmth, with recent days reaching 94–96°F amid elevated dew points that sustain heat indices above 105°F. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context for the elevated baseline, while the absence of incoming fronts or tropical moisture keeps temperatures anchored in the 94–95°F range. Minor model spreads allow limited probability for 96–97°F peaks if insolation strengthens further before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 16?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 16?
94-95°F 65%
96-97°F 18%
92-93°F 16%
90-91°F 4.8%
NEW
$14,093 Vol.
NEW
$14,093 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
16%
94-95°F
65%
96-97°F
18%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 65%
96-97°F 18%
92-93°F 16%
90-91°F 4.8%
NEW
$14,093 Vol.
NEW
$14,093 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
81°F or below
$224 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$193 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$624 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$413 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$245 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$900 Vol.
5%
92-93°F
$3,587 Vol.
16%
94-95°F
$3,133 Vol.
65%
96-97°F
$4,260 Vol.
18%
98-99°F
$237 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$278 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model runs position mid-90s highs as the most likely outcome for Houston on September 16, with consensus pointing to mostly sunny skies, light east-to-southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would suppress daytime heating. Current conditions feature above-average warmth, with recent days reaching 94–96°F amid elevated dew points that sustain heat indices above 105°F. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context for the elevated baseline, while the absence of incoming fronts or tropical moisture keeps temperatures anchored in the 94–95°F range. Minor model spreads allow limited probability for 96–97°F peaks if insolation strengthens further before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,093End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model runs position mid-90s highs as the most likely outcome for Houston on September 16, with consensus pointing to mostly sunny skies, light east-to-southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would suppress daytime heating. Current conditions feature above-average warmth, with recent days reaching 94–96°F amid elevated dew points that sustain heat indices above 105°F. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context for the elevated baseline, while the absence of incoming fronts or tropical moisture keeps temperatures anchored in the 94–95°F range. Minor model spreads allow limited probability for 96–97°F peaks if insolation strengthens further before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,093End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model runs position mid-90s highs as the most likely outcome for Houston on September 16, with consensus pointing to mostly sunny skies, light east-to-southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would suppress daytime heating. Current conditions feature above-average warmth, with recent days reaching 94–96°F amid elevated dew points that sustain heat indices above 105°F. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context for the elevated baseline, while the absence of incoming fronts or tropical moisture keeps temperatures anchored in the 94–95°F range. Minor model spreads allow limited probability for 96–97°F peaks if insolation strengthens further before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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