Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daily high near 14–15°C in Buenos Aires on September 16, driven by easterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's heaviest positioning on 15°C at 47% implied probability, followed by 16°C at 24.5%, as traders weigh ensemble consensus against typical early-spring variability in the region. Official guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional emphasizes stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk, though small model spreads in maximum temperature could shift resolution if afternoon clearing intensifies. Updated runs overnight will provide the next key data point before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 16?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 16?
15°C 48%
16°C 22%
14°C 18%
17°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
3%
14°C
18%
15°C
48%
16°C
22%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 48%
16°C 22%
14°C 18%
17°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
9°C or below
$239 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$237 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$95 Vol.
1%
12°C
$40 Vol.
3%
13°C
$313 Vol.
3%
14°C
$1,153 Vol.
18%
15°C
$1,752 Vol.
48%
16°C
$1,997 Vol.
22%
17°C
$280 Vol.
5%
18°C
$326 Vol.
2%
19°C or higher
$31 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daily high near 14–15°C in Buenos Aires on September 16, driven by easterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's heaviest positioning on 15°C at 47% implied probability, followed by 16°C at 24.5%, as traders weigh ensemble consensus against typical early-spring variability in the region. Official guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional emphasizes stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk, though small model spreads in maximum temperature could shift resolution if afternoon clearing intensifies. Updated runs overnight will provide the next key data point before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,463End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daily high near 14–15°C in Buenos Aires on September 16, driven by easterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's heaviest positioning on 15°C at 47% implied probability, followed by 16°C at 24.5%, as traders weigh ensemble consensus against typical early-spring variability in the region. Official guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional emphasizes stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk, though small model spreads in maximum temperature could shift resolution if afternoon clearing intensifies. Updated runs overnight will provide the next key data point before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,463End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daily high near 14–15°C in Buenos Aires on September 16, driven by easterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's heaviest positioning on 15°C at 47% implied probability, followed by 16°C at 24.5%, as traders weigh ensemble consensus against typical early-spring variability in the region. Official guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional emphasizes stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk, though small model spreads in maximum temperature could shift resolution if afternoon clearing intensifies. Updated runs overnight will provide the next key data point before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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