Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over northern India are the main drivers behind closely matched market odds for Lucknow's minimum temperature on September 15. India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a low near 26°C amid partly cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, where increased humidity and reduced nighttime radiative cooling tend to elevate minima compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, yet small shifts in storm timing or coverage could alter the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for the region average 24–27°C, underscoring how current above-normal rainfall supports the balanced trader view between warmer and cooler outcomes ahead of the next IMD update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 15?
31°C or higher 97%
21°C or below 96%
26°C 44%
27°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
21°C or below
96%
22°C
15%
23°C
20%
24°C
20%
25°C
20%
26°C
23%
27°C
21%
28°C
20%
29°C
15%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
97%
31°C or higher 97%
21°C or below 96%
26°C 44%
27°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
21°C or below
$10 Vol.
96%
22°C
$10 Vol.
15%
23°C
$0 Vol.
20%
24°C
$0 Vol.
20%
25°C
$0 Vol.
20%
26°C
$10 Vol.
23%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
20%
29°C
$10 Vol.
15%
30°C
$10 Vol.
15%
31°C or higher
$10 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over northern India are the main drivers behind closely matched market odds for Lucknow's minimum temperature on September 15. India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a low near 26°C amid partly cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, where increased humidity and reduced nighttime radiative cooling tend to elevate minima compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, yet small shifts in storm timing or coverage could alter the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for the region average 24–27°C, underscoring how current above-normal rainfall supports the balanced trader view between warmer and cooler outcomes ahead of the next IMD update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$60End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over northern India are the main drivers behind closely matched market odds for Lucknow's minimum temperature on September 15. India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a low near 26°C amid partly cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, where increased humidity and reduced nighttime radiative cooling tend to elevate minima compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, yet small shifts in storm timing or coverage could alter the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for the region average 24–27°C, underscoring how current above-normal rainfall supports the balanced trader view between warmer and cooler outcomes ahead of the next IMD update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$60End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over northern India are the main drivers behind closely matched market odds for Lucknow's minimum temperature on September 15. India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a low near 26°C amid partly cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, where increased humidity and reduced nighttime radiative cooling tend to elevate minima compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, yet small shifts in storm timing or coverage could alter the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for the region average 24–27°C, underscoring how current above-normal rainfall supports the balanced trader view between warmer and cooler outcomes ahead of the next IMD update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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