Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a highest temperature near 32°C in Lucknow on September 14 amid the retreating monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, 70-80% thunderstorm probability, and easterly winds limiting daytime heating. These conditions favor the market's leading 32°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from showers typically cap maxima 1-2°C below the September climatological average of 33-34°C. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering patterns, though any clearing could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily high measurement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 14?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 14?
32°C 39%
31°C 29%
33°C 21%
29°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
15%
30°C
9%
31°C
29%
32°C
39%
33°C
21%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
9%
32°C 39%
31°C 29%
33°C 21%
29°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
15%
30°C
$5 Vol.
9%
31°C
$7 Vol.
29%
32°C
$11 Vol.
39%
33°C
$30 Vol.
21%
34°C
$0 Vol.
6%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a highest temperature near 32°C in Lucknow on September 14 amid the retreating monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, 70-80% thunderstorm probability, and easterly winds limiting daytime heating. These conditions favor the market's leading 32°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from showers typically cap maxima 1-2°C below the September climatological average of 33-34°C. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering patterns, though any clearing could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily high measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$53End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a highest temperature near 32°C in Lucknow on September 14 amid the retreating monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, 70-80% thunderstorm probability, and easterly winds limiting daytime heating. These conditions favor the market's leading 32°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from showers typically cap maxima 1-2°C below the September climatological average of 33-34°C. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering patterns, though any clearing could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily high measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a highest temperature near 32°C in Lucknow on September 14 amid the retreating monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, 70-80% thunderstorm probability, and easterly winds limiting daytime heating. These conditions favor the market's leading 32°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from showers typically cap maxima 1-2°C below the September climatological average of 33-34°C. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering patterns, though any clearing could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily high measurement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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