Recent weather models from multiple sources, including European and Israeli forecasting centers, indicate mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover for Tel Aviv on September 16, supporting a maximum temperature in the 31–33°C range. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions but slightly above the long-term September average of around 29°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the market-implied odds, concentrates on 33°C (38.5%) and especially 34°C (59%), suggesting expectations of modest warming from urban heat effects, model bias, or peak-hour measurements at official stations. Stable high pressure and low humidity reduce uncertainty, with little scope for significant deviations absent unexpected model shifts in final updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16?
34°C 59%
33°C 39%
35°C 3%
36°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
39%
34°C
59%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 59%
33°C 39%
35°C 3%
36°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
29°C or below
$891 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$650 Vol.
1%
31°C
$762 Vol.
1%
32°C
$366 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,858 Vol.
39%
34°C
$1,765 Vol.
59%
35°C
$688 Vol.
3%
36°C
$0 Vol.
2%
37°C
$201 Vol.
1%
38°C
$297 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$402 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models from multiple sources, including European and Israeli forecasting centers, indicate mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover for Tel Aviv on September 16, supporting a maximum temperature in the 31–33°C range. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions but slightly above the long-term September average of around 29°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the market-implied odds, concentrates on 33°C (38.5%) and especially 34°C (59%), suggesting expectations of modest warming from urban heat effects, model bias, or peak-hour measurements at official stations. Stable high pressure and low humidity reduce uncertainty, with little scope for significant deviations absent unexpected model shifts in final updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,881End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models from multiple sources, including European and Israeli forecasting centers, indicate mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover for Tel Aviv on September 16, supporting a maximum temperature in the 31–33°C range. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions but slightly above the long-term September average of around 29°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the market-implied odds, concentrates on 33°C (38.5%) and especially 34°C (59%), suggesting expectations of modest warming from urban heat effects, model bias, or peak-hour measurements at official stations. Stable high pressure and low humidity reduce uncertainty, with little scope for significant deviations absent unexpected model shifts in final updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,881End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather models from multiple sources, including European and Israeli forecasting centers, indicate mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover for Tel Aviv on September 16, supporting a maximum temperature in the 31–33°C range. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions but slightly above the long-term September average of around 29°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the market-implied odds, concentrates on 33°C (38.5%) and especially 34°C (59%), suggesting expectations of modest warming from urban heat effects, model bias, or peak-hour measurements at official stations. Stable high pressure and low humidity reduce uncertainty, with little scope for significant deviations absent unexpected model shifts in final updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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