Forecast models from sources including WindBorne, PredictWind, and Yr.no indicate overnight lows for Tel Aviv on September 16 centered on 23–24°C under clear skies and light northerly to northwesterly winds of 2–6 km/h. Stable high pressure supports strong radiative cooling after sunset, with minimum readings expected near dawn before any daytime warming or sea-breeze effects. Historical September climatology for the area shows typical overnight minima near 23–24°C, and current ensemble guidance shows little spread, though minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture or exact wind speed could shift the precise low by 1°C. Trader consensus clusters on these two outcomes, with the 20°C-or-below bucket reflecting residual uncertainty from any unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind. Updated short-range forecasts issued later on September 15 will likely refine the final market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16?
30°C or higher 45%
24°C 39%
23°C 30%
26°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
25%
21°C
16%
22°C
18%
23°C
30%
24°C
39%
25°C
22%
26°C
28%
27°C
14%
28°C
13%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
45%
30°C or higher 45%
24°C 39%
23°C 30%
26°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
$42 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
16%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$43 Vol.
30%
24°C
$5 Vol.
39%
25°C
$5 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
14%
28°C
$0 Vol.
13%
29°C
$0 Vol.
13%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including WindBorne, PredictWind, and Yr.no indicate overnight lows for Tel Aviv on September 16 centered on 23–24°C under clear skies and light northerly to northwesterly winds of 2–6 km/h. Stable high pressure supports strong radiative cooling after sunset, with minimum readings expected near dawn before any daytime warming or sea-breeze effects. Historical September climatology for the area shows typical overnight minima near 23–24°C, and current ensemble guidance shows little spread, though minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture or exact wind speed could shift the precise low by 1°C. Trader consensus clusters on these two outcomes, with the 20°C-or-below bucket reflecting residual uncertainty from any unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind. Updated short-range forecasts issued later on September 15 will likely refine the final market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$95End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including WindBorne, PredictWind, and Yr.no indicate overnight lows for Tel Aviv on September 16 centered on 23–24°C under clear skies and light northerly to northwesterly winds of 2–6 km/h. Stable high pressure supports strong radiative cooling after sunset, with minimum readings expected near dawn before any daytime warming or sea-breeze effects. Historical September climatology for the area shows typical overnight minima near 23–24°C, and current ensemble guidance shows little spread, though minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture or exact wind speed could shift the precise low by 1°C. Trader consensus clusters on these two outcomes, with the 20°C-or-below bucket reflecting residual uncertainty from any unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind. Updated short-range forecasts issued later on September 15 will likely refine the final market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$95End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including WindBorne, PredictWind, and Yr.no indicate overnight lows for Tel Aviv on September 16 centered on 23–24°C under clear skies and light northerly to northwesterly winds of 2–6 km/h. Stable high pressure supports strong radiative cooling after sunset, with minimum readings expected near dawn before any daytime warming or sea-breeze effects. Historical September climatology for the area shows typical overnight minima near 23–24°C, and current ensemble guidance shows little spread, though minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture or exact wind speed could shift the precise low by 1°C. Trader consensus clusters on these two outcomes, with the 20°C-or-below bucket reflecting residual uncertainty from any unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind. Updated short-range forecasts issued later on September 15 will likely refine the final market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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