Recent forecasts from agencies and models show Tel Aviv under stable high pressure with clear skies and light winds, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 24–25°C. Historical September lows average around 23°C, but current conditions feature elevated humidity and urban heat retention that limit further drops. Model consensus points to the daily minimum occurring just before dawn, with minor variations possible from exact station siting or brief wind shifts. Trader odds reflect this tight range amid genuine forecast uncertainty, as small changes in dew point or cloud cover could tip the outcome between the closely matched 24°C and 25°C resolutions. Updated observations tonight will clarify the final reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 17?
20°C 94%
22°C 92%
24°C 48%
19°C or below <1%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
94%
21°C
<1%
22°C
92%
23°C
47%
24°C
48%
25°C
50%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
20°C 94%
22°C 92%
24°C 48%
19°C or below <1%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
94%
21°C
<1%
22°C
92%
23°C
47%
24°C
48%
25°C
50%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies and models show Tel Aviv under stable high pressure with clear skies and light winds, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 24–25°C. Historical September lows average around 23°C, but current conditions feature elevated humidity and urban heat retention that limit further drops. Model consensus points to the daily minimum occurring just before dawn, with minor variations possible from exact station siting or brief wind shifts. Trader odds reflect this tight range amid genuine forecast uncertainty, as small changes in dew point or cloud cover could tip the outcome between the closely matched 24°C and 25°C resolutions. Updated observations tonight will clarify the final reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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