Recent forecasts from global models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate overnight lows in Karachi near 27°C on September 19, driven by persistent southwesterly winds, moderate humidity near 70-80%, and limited cloud cover that supports gradual radiative cooling after sunset. Historical September baselines show typical minima of 25-27°C, with coastal sea breezes and urban heat effects adding local variability that can shift the recorded low by 1-2°C. Trader sentiment remains balanced across bins because ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs highlight uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any lingering monsoon moisture or wind shifts. Fresh model updates and official observations on the 18th-19th will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 19?
22°C or below 56%
32°C or higher 56%
27°C 52%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
22°C or below
56%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
52%
28°C
39%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C
39%
32°C or higher
56%
22°C or below 56%
32°C or higher 56%
27°C 52%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
56%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$33 Vol.
52%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
39%
31°C
$0 Vol.
39%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate overnight lows in Karachi near 27°C on September 19, driven by persistent southwesterly winds, moderate humidity near 70-80%, and limited cloud cover that supports gradual radiative cooling after sunset. Historical September baselines show typical minima of 25-27°C, with coastal sea breezes and urban heat effects adding local variability that can shift the recorded low by 1-2°C. Trader sentiment remains balanced across bins because ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs highlight uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any lingering monsoon moisture or wind shifts. Fresh model updates and official observations on the 18th-19th will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$33End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate overnight lows in Karachi near 27°C on September 19, driven by persistent southwesterly winds, moderate humidity near 70-80%, and limited cloud cover that supports gradual radiative cooling after sunset. Historical September baselines show typical minima of 25-27°C, with coastal sea breezes and urban heat effects adding local variability that can shift the recorded low by 1-2°C. Trader sentiment remains balanced across bins because ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs highlight uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any lingering monsoon moisture or wind shifts. Fresh model updates and official observations on the 18th-19th will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate overnight lows in Karachi near 27°C on September 19, driven by persistent southwesterly winds, moderate humidity near 70-80%, and limited cloud cover that supports gradual radiative cooling after sunset. Historical September baselines show typical minima of 25-27°C, with coastal sea breezes and urban heat effects adding local variability that can shift the recorded low by 1-2°C. Trader sentiment remains balanced across bins because ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs highlight uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any lingering monsoon moisture or wind shifts. Fresh model updates and official observations on the 18th-19th will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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