Current meteorological model consensus, including GFS runs, points to a daytime high near 19°C in Moscow on September 19 under mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 3–5 m/s and a chance of light showers. This setup supports modest daytime warming above the long-term average high of roughly 15.6°C, while overnight lows near 11–12°C limit the daily range. Ensemble spreads show limited upside potential beyond 20°C due to persistent cloud cover and precipitation chances around 40–80% in some guidance, keeping lower outcomes like 18°C or 17°C as secondary possibilities. Updated short-range forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on September 19?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 19?
19°C 55%
20°C 27%
18°C 26%
16°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
16%
17°C
13%
18°C
26%
19°C
55%
20°C
16%
21°C
10%
22°C
10%
23°C or higher
8%
19°C 55%
20°C 27%
18°C 26%
16°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
13°C or below
$111 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$63 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
16%
17°C
$8 Vol.
13%
18°C
$8 Vol.
26%
19°C
$168 Vol.
55%
20°C
$132 Vol.
16%
21°C
$8 Vol.
10%
22°C
$0 Vol.
10%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological model consensus, including GFS runs, points to a daytime high near 19°C in Moscow on September 19 under mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 3–5 m/s and a chance of light showers. This setup supports modest daytime warming above the long-term average high of roughly 15.6°C, while overnight lows near 11–12°C limit the daily range. Ensemble spreads show limited upside potential beyond 20°C due to persistent cloud cover and precipitation chances around 40–80% in some guidance, keeping lower outcomes like 18°C or 17°C as secondary possibilities. Updated short-range forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$609End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological model consensus, including GFS runs, points to a daytime high near 19°C in Moscow on September 19 under mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 3–5 m/s and a chance of light showers. This setup supports modest daytime warming above the long-term average high of roughly 15.6°C, while overnight lows near 11–12°C limit the daily range. Ensemble spreads show limited upside potential beyond 20°C due to persistent cloud cover and precipitation chances around 40–80% in some guidance, keeping lower outcomes like 18°C or 17°C as secondary possibilities. Updated short-range forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$609End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological model consensus, including GFS runs, points to a daytime high near 19°C in Moscow on September 19 under mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 3–5 m/s and a chance of light showers. This setup supports modest daytime warming above the long-term average high of roughly 15.6°C, while overnight lows near 11–12°C limit the daily range. Ensemble spreads show limited upside potential beyond 20°C due to persistent cloud cover and precipitation chances around 40–80% in some guidance, keeping lower outcomes like 18°C or 17°C as secondary possibilities. Updated short-range forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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