Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C in Karachi on September 18, 2026, consistent with the market's leading 50% implied probability for that exact outcome. Late-September conditions feature typical post-monsoon stability, with partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and high humidity around 70-85% moderating overnight cooling. Official climatological baselines place average lows near 25-27°C, and no major atmospheric shifts such as stronger monsoon intrusions or clear-sky radiative cooling are expected to push readings substantially lower or higher. Upcoming model updates from regional agencies will refine these projections ahead of overnight minimums.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 18?
22°C or below 52%
32°C or higher 52%
27°C 50%
24°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
22°C or below
52%
23°C
17%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
22%
27°C
50%
28°C
25%
29°C
8%
30°C
17%
31°C
17%
32°C or higher
52%
22°C or below 52%
32°C or higher 52%
27°C 50%
24°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
52%
23°C
$0 Vol.
17%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$2 Vol.
22%
27°C
$91 Vol.
50%
28°C
$17 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
17%
31°C
$0 Vol.
17%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C in Karachi on September 18, 2026, consistent with the market's leading 50% implied probability for that exact outcome. Late-September conditions feature typical post-monsoon stability, with partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and high humidity around 70-85% moderating overnight cooling. Official climatological baselines place average lows near 25-27°C, and no major atmospheric shifts such as stronger monsoon intrusions or clear-sky radiative cooling are expected to push readings substantially lower or higher. Upcoming model updates from regional agencies will refine these projections ahead of overnight minimums.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$110End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C in Karachi on September 18, 2026, consistent with the market's leading 50% implied probability for that exact outcome. Late-September conditions feature typical post-monsoon stability, with partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and high humidity around 70-85% moderating overnight cooling. Official climatological baselines place average lows near 25-27°C, and no major atmospheric shifts such as stronger monsoon intrusions or clear-sky radiative cooling are expected to push readings substantially lower or higher. Upcoming model updates from regional agencies will refine these projections ahead of overnight minimums.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$110End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C in Karachi on September 18, 2026, consistent with the market's leading 50% implied probability for that exact outcome. Late-September conditions feature typical post-monsoon stability, with partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and high humidity around 70-85% moderating overnight cooling. Official climatological baselines place average lows near 25-27°C, and no major atmospheric shifts such as stronger monsoon intrusions or clear-sky radiative cooling are expected to push readings substantially lower or higher. Upcoming model updates from regional agencies will refine these projections ahead of overnight minimums.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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