Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate sunny to mostly sunny conditions for Seattle on September 18, with light southerly winds and high pressure supporting a daytime high centered in the upper 60s to low 70s. This consensus, reflected in point forecasts near 70–71°F and consistent across multiple runs issued September 17, positions the 70–71°F bin as the market leader. Minimal cloud cover and stable steering patterns reduce the likelihood of significant warming or cooling deviations, while typical September climatology (average highs near 68°F) provides context for why adjacent bins at 68–69°F and 72–73°F hold secondary support. No major forecast shifts have emerged in the latest updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on September 18?
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 18?
70-71°F 45%
68-69°F 28%
72-73°F 12%
66-67°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 45%
68-69°F 28%
72-73°F 12%
66-67°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
63°F or below
$145 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$584 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$1,440 Vol.
10%
68-69°F
$1,084 Vol.
28%
70-71°F
$1,347 Vol.
45%
72-73°F
$441 Vol.
12%
74-75°F
$381 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$293 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$350 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$183 Vol.
<1%
82°F or higher
$188 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate sunny to mostly sunny conditions for Seattle on September 18, with light southerly winds and high pressure supporting a daytime high centered in the upper 60s to low 70s. This consensus, reflected in point forecasts near 70–71°F and consistent across multiple runs issued September 17, positions the 70–71°F bin as the market leader. Minimal cloud cover and stable steering patterns reduce the likelihood of significant warming or cooling deviations, while typical September climatology (average highs near 68°F) provides context for why adjacent bins at 68–69°F and 72–73°F hold secondary support. No major forecast shifts have emerged in the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,435End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 7:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate sunny to mostly sunny conditions for Seattle on September 18, with light southerly winds and high pressure supporting a daytime high centered in the upper 60s to low 70s. This consensus, reflected in point forecasts near 70–71°F and consistent across multiple runs issued September 17, positions the 70–71°F bin as the market leader. Minimal cloud cover and stable steering patterns reduce the likelihood of significant warming or cooling deviations, while typical September climatology (average highs near 68°F) provides context for why adjacent bins at 68–69°F and 72–73°F hold secondary support. No major forecast shifts have emerged in the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,435End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 7:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate sunny to mostly sunny conditions for Seattle on September 18, with light southerly winds and high pressure supporting a daytime high centered in the upper 60s to low 70s. This consensus, reflected in point forecasts near 70–71°F and consistent across multiple runs issued September 17, positions the 70–71°F bin as the market leader. Minimal cloud cover and stable steering patterns reduce the likelihood of significant warming or cooling deviations, while typical September climatology (average highs near 68°F) provides context for why adjacent bins at 68–69°F and 72–73°F hold secondary support. No major forecast shifts have emerged in the latest updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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