Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing weather system, driven by a shear line and low-level jet, are expected to suppress daytime heating in Chongqing on September 17, limiting the maximum temperature to the low-to-mid 20s °C range. Official guidance and model consensus indicate widespread rain with totals potentially exceeding 15–40 mm in many areas, high humidity near 85–90%, and minimal solar insolation, which reduces the potential for temperatures to reach the climatological September average near 27 °C. Minor differences among leading outcomes (22–24 °C) hinge on precise rain timing, cloud optical depth, and local wind shifts that could allow brief periods of greater insolation or enhance evaporative cooling. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these details ahead of the event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 17?
21°C or below 28%
23°C 25%
22°C 24%
24°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
28%
22°C
24%
23°C
25%
24°C
15%
25°C
8%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 28%
23°C 25%
22°C 24%
24°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
$432 Vol.
28%
22°C
$112 Vol.
24%
23°C
$6 Vol.
25%
24°C
$221 Vol.
15%
25°C
$85 Vol.
8%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing weather system, driven by a shear line and low-level jet, are expected to suppress daytime heating in Chongqing on September 17, limiting the maximum temperature to the low-to-mid 20s °C range. Official guidance and model consensus indicate widespread rain with totals potentially exceeding 15–40 mm in many areas, high humidity near 85–90%, and minimal solar insolation, which reduces the potential for temperatures to reach the climatological September average near 27 °C. Minor differences among leading outcomes (22–24 °C) hinge on precise rain timing, cloud optical depth, and local wind shifts that could allow brief periods of greater insolation or enhance evaporative cooling. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these details ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,169End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing weather system, driven by a shear line and low-level jet, are expected to suppress daytime heating in Chongqing on September 17, limiting the maximum temperature to the low-to-mid 20s °C range. Official guidance and model consensus indicate widespread rain with totals potentially exceeding 15–40 mm in many areas, high humidity near 85–90%, and minimal solar insolation, which reduces the potential for temperatures to reach the climatological September average near 27 °C. Minor differences among leading outcomes (22–24 °C) hinge on precise rain timing, cloud optical depth, and local wind shifts that could allow brief periods of greater insolation or enhance evaporative cooling. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these details ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,169End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing weather system, driven by a shear line and low-level jet, are expected to suppress daytime heating in Chongqing on September 17, limiting the maximum temperature to the low-to-mid 20s °C range. Official guidance and model consensus indicate widespread rain with totals potentially exceeding 15–40 mm in many areas, high humidity near 85–90%, and minimal solar insolation, which reduces the potential for temperatures to reach the climatological September average near 27 °C. Minor differences among leading outcomes (22–24 °C) hinge on precise rain timing, cloud optical depth, and local wind shifts that could allow brief periods of greater insolation or enhance evaporative cooling. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these details ahead of the event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions