Forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service and GFS consensus point to a daytime high near 20°C in Munich on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal daytime precipitation, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 20–21°C outcomes. These conditions follow overnight clearing after September 16 thunderstorms, with stable high pressure and moderate humidity supporting typical mid-September values close to the 19.5°C climatological average high. Recent model runs show limited spread, though any unexpected afternoon clearing or residual moisture could nudge readings slightly higher or lower. Traders appear to price in this consensus while acknowledging the narrow uncertainty band around the most probable range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 17?
20°C 51%
21°C 35%
19°C 9%
22°C 6%
NEW
$23,445 Vol.
NEW
$23,445 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
9%
20°C
51%
21°C
35%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 51%
21°C 35%
19°C 9%
22°C 6%
NEW
$23,445 Vol.
NEW
$23,445 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
16°C or below
$497 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$998 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,768 Vol.
3%
19°C
$2,015 Vol.
9%
20°C
$4,318 Vol.
51%
21°C
$4,472 Vol.
35%
22°C
$3,523 Vol.
6%
23°C
$1,678 Vol.
2%
24°C
$946 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,678 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$553 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service and GFS consensus point to a daytime high near 20°C in Munich on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal daytime precipitation, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 20–21°C outcomes. These conditions follow overnight clearing after September 16 thunderstorms, with stable high pressure and moderate humidity supporting typical mid-September values close to the 19.5°C climatological average high. Recent model runs show limited spread, though any unexpected afternoon clearing or residual moisture could nudge readings slightly higher or lower. Traders appear to price in this consensus while acknowledging the narrow uncertainty band around the most probable range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$23,445End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service and GFS consensus point to a daytime high near 20°C in Munich on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal daytime precipitation, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 20–21°C outcomes. These conditions follow overnight clearing after September 16 thunderstorms, with stable high pressure and moderate humidity supporting typical mid-September values close to the 19.5°C climatological average high. Recent model runs show limited spread, though any unexpected afternoon clearing or residual moisture could nudge readings slightly higher or lower. Traders appear to price in this consensus while acknowledging the narrow uncertainty band around the most probable range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,445End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service and GFS consensus point to a daytime high near 20°C in Munich on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal daytime precipitation, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 20–21°C outcomes. These conditions follow overnight clearing after September 16 thunderstorms, with stable high pressure and moderate humidity supporting typical mid-September values close to the 19.5°C climatological average high. Recent model runs show limited spread, though any unexpected afternoon clearing or residual moisture could nudge readings slightly higher or lower. Traders appear to price in this consensus while acknowledging the narrow uncertainty band around the most probable range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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