Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms on September 16, driven by persistent northeast flow and elevated moisture, which will increase cloud cover and reduce peak insolation. This convective regime typically caps afternoon temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80s°F despite a climatological average high near 89°F. Forecasters highlight 50–80% rain probabilities and northeast winds of 10–15 mph, favoring the market’s leading 88–91°F bins while limiting upside to 92°F or higher. Updated model runs and the National Hurricane Center’s tropical weather discussion remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on September 16?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 16?
88-89°F 48%
90-91°F 38%
86-87°F 14%
92-93°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
77°F or below
4%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
48%
90-91°F
38%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
5%
96°F or higher
4%
88-89°F 48%
90-91°F 38%
86-87°F 14%
92-93°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
77°F or below
$0 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
7%
86-87°F
$18 Vol.
14%
88-89°F
$274 Vol.
48%
90-91°F
$947 Vol.
38%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
9%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
5%
96°F or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms on September 16, driven by persistent northeast flow and elevated moisture, which will increase cloud cover and reduce peak insolation. This convective regime typically caps afternoon temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80s°F despite a climatological average high near 89°F. Forecasters highlight 50–80% rain probabilities and northeast winds of 10–15 mph, favoring the market’s leading 88–91°F bins while limiting upside to 92°F or higher. Updated model runs and the National Hurricane Center’s tropical weather discussion remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,244End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms on September 16, driven by persistent northeast flow and elevated moisture, which will increase cloud cover and reduce peak insolation. This convective regime typically caps afternoon temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80s°F despite a climatological average high near 89°F. Forecasters highlight 50–80% rain probabilities and northeast winds of 10–15 mph, favoring the market’s leading 88–91°F bins while limiting upside to 92°F or higher. Updated model runs and the National Hurricane Center’s tropical weather discussion remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,244End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms on September 16, driven by persistent northeast flow and elevated moisture, which will increase cloud cover and reduce peak insolation. This convective regime typically caps afternoon temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80s°F despite a climatological average high near 89°F. Forecasters highlight 50–80% rain probabilities and northeast winds of 10–15 mph, favoring the market’s leading 88–91°F bins while limiting upside to 92°F or higher. Updated model runs and the National Hurricane Center’s tropical weather discussion remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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