Recent forecasts for Chongqing indicate a high around 27°C on September 14 amid increasing cloud cover and light precipitation chances from an approaching weather system, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for 26–28°C. Subtropical conditions in the region feature high humidity and reduced insolation from stratiform clouds, which limit surface heating compared to clearer early-September days when maxima often exceeded 30°C. Model consensus shows modest variability in exact cloud thickness and timing of showers, creating uncertainty around the precise peak temperature threshold. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context, while official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will confirm the daily maximum for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 14?
26°C 26%
27°C 23%
25°C 17%
28°C 15%
23°C or below
8%
24°C
10%
25°C
17%
26°C
26%
27°C
23%
28°C
15%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 26%
27°C 23%
25°C 17%
28°C 15%
23°C or below
8%
24°C
10%
25°C
17%
26°C
26%
27°C
23%
28°C
15%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chongqing indicate a high around 27°C on September 14 amid increasing cloud cover and light precipitation chances from an approaching weather system, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for 26–28°C. Subtropical conditions in the region feature high humidity and reduced insolation from stratiform clouds, which limit surface heating compared to clearer early-September days when maxima often exceeded 30°C. Model consensus shows modest variability in exact cloud thickness and timing of showers, creating uncertainty around the precise peak temperature threshold. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context, while official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will confirm the daily maximum for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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