Official forecasts from the National Weather Service for Dallas on September 16 project a high near 100°F under mostly sunny skies, light southeast winds, and continued heat indices above 105°F. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are sustaining above-average temperatures well above the late-summer climatological mean of roughly 89°F. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, supporting trader consensus on the 98–101°F range while leaving limited room for outliers unless a stronger cold front or increased cloud cover develops.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on September 16?
98-99°F 61%
100-101°F 29%
96-97°F 7%
104-105°F 5%
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
61%
100-101°F
29%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 61%
100-101°F 29%
96-97°F 7%
104-105°F 5%
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
61%
100-101°F
29%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service for Dallas on September 16 project a high near 100°F under mostly sunny skies, light southeast winds, and continued heat indices above 105°F. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are sustaining above-average temperatures well above the late-summer climatological mean of roughly 89°F. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, supporting trader consensus on the 98–101°F range while leaving limited room for outliers unless a stronger cold front or increased cloud cover develops.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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