**Trader consensus clusters around 33–35°C for Karachi’s September 16 high, reflecting model guidance for a partly cloudy day with southwest sea breezes and light monsoon moisture limiting peak heating.** Coastal Karachi’s Arabian Sea location typically caps September maxima near the 33–34°C climatological average through afternoon onshore flow that enhances mixing and evaporative cooling, while high humidity (often 60–80%) raises the heat index without pushing the dry-bulb reading higher. Recent westward movement of a low-pressure system has introduced variable cloud cover and isolated light rain chances, which can reduce insolation by 10–20% and differentiate the narrow 1°C spread among leading outcomes. Stronger or earlier breezes favor the 33°C bin; clearer skies or delayed winds tilt toward 35°C. Official Pakistan Meteorological Department updates and hourly observations through the afternoon will resolve remaining uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on September 16?
34°C 36%
35°C 28%
33°C 22%
36°C 5%
$10,096 Vol.
$10,096 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C
22%
34°C
36%
35°C
28%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 36%
35°C 28%
33°C 22%
36°C 5%
$10,096 Vol.
$10,096 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C
22%
34°C
36%
35°C
28%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus clusters around 33–35°C for Karachi’s September 16 high, reflecting model guidance for a partly cloudy day with southwest sea breezes and light monsoon moisture limiting peak heating.** Coastal Karachi’s Arabian Sea location typically caps September maxima near the 33–34°C climatological average through afternoon onshore flow that enhances mixing and evaporative cooling, while high humidity (often 60–80%) raises the heat index without pushing the dry-bulb reading higher. Recent westward movement of a low-pressure system has introduced variable cloud cover and isolated light rain chances, which can reduce insolation by 10–20% and differentiate the narrow 1°C spread among leading outcomes. Stronger or earlier breezes favor the 33°C bin; clearer skies or delayed winds tilt toward 35°C. Official Pakistan Meteorological Department updates and hourly observations through the afternoon will resolve remaining uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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