Recent forecast models from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international sources point to a September 16 high in Taipei near 27–30°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. These factors reduce solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, while typical mid-September climatology shows highs around 30°C before seasonal decline. Model runs differ on exact cloud thickness and timing of any showers, creating tight market clustering at 29°C and 30°C with meaningful support for 27°C. Updated guidance on precipitation probability and wind strength ahead of the date will likely clarify the peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on September 16?
30°C 32%
29°C 31%
27°C 20%
28°C 16%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
20%
28°C
16%
29°C
31%
30°C
32%
31°C
12%
32°C
9%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 32%
29°C 31%
27°C 20%
28°C 16%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
20%
28°C
16%
29°C
31%
30°C
32%
31°C
12%
32°C
9%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international sources point to a September 16 high in Taipei near 27–30°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. These factors reduce solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, while typical mid-September climatology shows highs around 30°C before seasonal decline. Model runs differ on exact cloud thickness and timing of any showers, creating tight market clustering at 29°C and 30°C with meaningful support for 27°C. Updated guidance on precipitation probability and wind strength ahead of the date will likely clarify the peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions