Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and PredictWind indicate highs of 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 16, aligning with the market's leading 34°C outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Typical September conditions feature mean daily maxima near 32–33°C, driven by equatorial solar heating, light southerly winds, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peaks. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, forecast at 30–50% chance, introduce uncertainty by potentially limiting afternoon warming. Historical records show occasional spikes above 34°C under clearer skies, supporting the 8.5% odds for 35°C, while cooler outcomes remain less likely absent stronger monsoon influences. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 16?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 16?
34°C 57%
33°C 32%
35°C 7%
32°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
32%
34°C
57%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 57%
33°C 32%
35°C 7%
32°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
29°C or below
$87 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$67 Vol.
3%
31°C
$5 Vol.
2%
32°C
$68 Vol.
6%
33°C
$227 Vol.
32%
34°C
$649 Vol.
57%
35°C
$41 Vol.
7%
36°C
$0 Vol.
2%
37°C
$0 Vol.
2%
38°C
$5 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$43 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and PredictWind indicate highs of 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 16, aligning with the market's leading 34°C outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Typical September conditions feature mean daily maxima near 32–33°C, driven by equatorial solar heating, light southerly winds, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peaks. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, forecast at 30–50% chance, introduce uncertainty by potentially limiting afternoon warming. Historical records show occasional spikes above 34°C under clearer skies, supporting the 8.5% odds for 35°C, while cooler outcomes remain less likely absent stronger monsoon influences. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,192End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and PredictWind indicate highs of 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 16, aligning with the market's leading 34°C outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Typical September conditions feature mean daily maxima near 32–33°C, driven by equatorial solar heating, light southerly winds, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peaks. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, forecast at 30–50% chance, introduce uncertainty by potentially limiting afternoon warming. Historical records show occasional spikes above 34°C under clearer skies, supporting the 8.5% odds for 35°C, while cooler outcomes remain less likely absent stronger monsoon influences. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,192End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and PredictWind indicate highs of 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 16, aligning with the market's leading 34°C outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Typical September conditions feature mean daily maxima near 32–33°C, driven by equatorial solar heating, light southerly winds, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peaks. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, forecast at 30–50% chance, introduce uncertainty by potentially limiting afternoon warming. Historical records show occasional spikes above 34°C under clearer skies, supporting the 8.5% odds for 35°C, while cooler outcomes remain less likely absent stronger monsoon influences. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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