**Current forecasts for Taipei on September 16 point to an overnight low near 23–25°C under persistent northeasterly flow, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** Model consensus from sources such as the Central Weather Administration and international guidance shows daytime highs of 26–29°C transitioning to minimums typically reached in the early morning hours, with light drizzle or overcast conditions further moderating temperature drops. The closely matched market-implied probabilities around 24–25°C reflect this narrow forecast range, while lower outcomes like 19°C or below remain possible only if stronger winds or clearer skies enhance cooling beyond current guidance. Upcoming model runs and official updates will refine the exact minimum, as small shifts in wind speed or cloud timing can alter the low by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for northern Taiwan support this range amid seasonal monsoon influences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on September 16?
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
27°C 39%
19°C or below
19%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
23%
24°C
32%
25°C
26%
26°C
23%
27°C
39%
28°C
9%
29°C or higher
16%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
27°C 39%
19°C or below
19%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
23%
24°C
32%
25°C
26%
26°C
23%
27°C
39%
28°C
9%
29°C or higher
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Taipei on September 16 point to an overnight low near 23–25°C under persistent northeasterly flow, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** Model consensus from sources such as the Central Weather Administration and international guidance shows daytime highs of 26–29°C transitioning to minimums typically reached in the early morning hours, with light drizzle or overcast conditions further moderating temperature drops. The closely matched market-implied probabilities around 24–25°C reflect this narrow forecast range, while lower outcomes like 19°C or below remain possible only if stronger winds or clearer skies enhance cooling beyond current guidance. Upcoming model runs and official updates will refine the exact minimum, as small shifts in wind speed or cloud timing can alter the low by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for northern Taiwan support this range amid seasonal monsoon influences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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