**Forecast models from sources including Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Taipei on September 15 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C range, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and periods of showers that limit daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling overnight.** This setup, typical during the later typhoon season transition, supports market-implied probabilities favoring outcomes at or below 24 °C by moderating the usual September diurnal range. Historical baselines for mid-September show average minima near 25–26 °C under clearer conditions, but current model consensus points to slightly suppressed temperatures from moisture and wind. Updated runs and any shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing remain key variables that could alter the final official reading before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on September 15?
20°C or below 80%
28°C 39%
24°C 30%
25°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
20°C or below
80%
21°C
17%
22°C
20%
23°C
20%
24°C
30%
25°C
21%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
39%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
14%
20°C or below 80%
28°C 39%
24°C 30%
25°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
20°C or below
$10 Vol.
80%
21°C
$10 Vol.
17%
22°C
$0 Vol.
20%
23°C
$0 Vol.
20%
24°C
$0 Vol.
30%
25°C
$0 Vol.
21%
26°C
$0 Vol.
20%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$10 Vol.
39%
29°C
$10 Vol.
15%
30°C or higher
$10 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Taipei on September 15 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C range, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and periods of showers that limit daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling overnight.**
This setup, typical during the later typhoon season transition, supports market-implied probabilities favoring outcomes at or below 24 °C by moderating the usual September diurnal range. Historical baselines for mid-September show average minima near 25–26 °C under clearer conditions, but current model consensus points to slightly suppressed temperatures from moisture and wind. Updated runs and any shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing remain key variables that could alter the final official reading before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$50End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Taipei on September 15 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C range, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and periods of showers that limit daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling overnight.**
This setup, typical during the later typhoon season transition, supports market-implied probabilities favoring outcomes at or below 24 °C by moderating the usual September diurnal range. Historical baselines for mid-September show average minima near 25–26 °C under clearer conditions, but current model consensus points to slightly suppressed temperatures from moisture and wind. Updated runs and any shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing remain key variables that could alter the final official reading before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Taipei on September 15 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C range, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and periods of showers that limit daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling overnight.** This setup, typical during the later typhoon season transition, supports market-implied probabilities favoring outcomes at or below 24 °C by moderating the usual September diurnal range. Historical baselines for mid-September show average minima near 25–26 °C under clearer conditions, but current model consensus points to slightly suppressed temperatures from moisture and wind. Updated runs and any shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing remain key variables that could alter the final official reading before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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