**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–29°C for Karachi’s September 16 minimum, reflecting the narrow range of overnight cooling expected under persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover.** Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department observations recorded a 28°C low on the 15th amid light rain and 81% humidity, while model guidance shows dew points near 25–26°C and southwest winds limiting radiative cooling. High cloud fractions and sea-breeze moderation keep the urban heat island effect subdued, favoring outcomes near the recent observed floor rather than deeper seasonal normals around 25°C. Minor forecast shifts in cloud timing or wind speed could tip resolution between the leading 28°C and 27°C contracts before official verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 16?
23°C or below 74%
26°C 40%
24°C 19%
25°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
74%
24°C
19%
25°C
<1%
26°C
40%
27°C
45%
28°C
57%
29°C
47%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
23°C or below 74%
26°C 40%
24°C 19%
25°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
74%
24°C
$79 Vol.
19%
25°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$33 Vol.
40%
27°C
$6 Vol.
45%
28°C
$45 Vol.
57%
29°C
$55 Vol.
47%
30°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–29°C for Karachi’s September 16 minimum, reflecting the narrow range of overnight cooling expected under persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover.** Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department observations recorded a 28°C low on the 15th amid light rain and 81% humidity, while model guidance shows dew points near 25–26°C and southwest winds limiting radiative cooling. High cloud fractions and sea-breeze moderation keep the urban heat island effect subdued, favoring outcomes near the recent observed floor rather than deeper seasonal normals around 25°C. Minor forecast shifts in cloud timing or wind speed could tip resolution between the leading 28°C and 27°C contracts before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$285End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–29°C for Karachi’s September 16 minimum, reflecting the narrow range of overnight cooling expected under persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover.** Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department observations recorded a 28°C low on the 15th amid light rain and 81% humidity, while model guidance shows dew points near 25–26°C and southwest winds limiting radiative cooling. High cloud fractions and sea-breeze moderation keep the urban heat island effect subdued, favoring outcomes near the recent observed floor rather than deeper seasonal normals around 25°C. Minor forecast shifts in cloud timing or wind speed could tip resolution between the leading 28°C and 27°C contracts before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$285End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–29°C for Karachi’s September 16 minimum, reflecting the narrow range of overnight cooling expected under persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover.** Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department observations recorded a 28°C low on the 15th amid light rain and 81% humidity, while model guidance shows dew points near 25–26°C and southwest winds limiting radiative cooling. High cloud fractions and sea-breeze moderation keep the urban heat island effect subdued, favoring outcomes near the recent observed floor rather than deeper seasonal normals around 25°C. Minor forecast shifts in cloud timing or wind speed could tip resolution between the leading 28°C and 27°C contracts before official verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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