Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model runs and agencies indicate a peak temperature of 20–21°C in Munich on September 18, 2026, under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 21°C (62% implied probability) and secondary support for 20°C or 22°C, reflecting typical mid-September conditions where average highs hover near 19.4°C and solar heating is moderated by cloud cover. Model consensus shows limited warming potential absent a clear ridge, keeping odds of 23°C or higher below 2%. Updated observations through midday confirm temperatures tracking toward the upper end of this range without exceeding model guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 18?
21°C 62%
22°C 23%
20°C 16%
23°C 2%
$17,065 Vol.
$17,065 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
16%
21°C
62%
22°C
23%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 62%
22°C 23%
20°C 16%
23°C 2%
$17,065 Vol.
$17,065 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
17°C or below
$2,079 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$583 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,154 Vol.
1%
20°C
$4,170 Vol.
16%
21°C
$3,197 Vol.
62%
22°C
$2,348 Vol.
23%
23°C
$945 Vol.
2%
24°C
$661 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,610 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$159 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$159 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model runs and agencies indicate a peak temperature of 20–21°C in Munich on September 18, 2026, under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 21°C (62% implied probability) and secondary support for 20°C or 22°C, reflecting typical mid-September conditions where average highs hover near 19.4°C and solar heating is moderated by cloud cover. Model consensus shows limited warming potential absent a clear ridge, keeping odds of 23°C or higher below 2%. Updated observations through midday confirm temperatures tracking toward the upper end of this range without exceeding model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$17,065End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model runs and agencies indicate a peak temperature of 20–21°C in Munich on September 18, 2026, under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 21°C (62% implied probability) and secondary support for 20°C or 22°C, reflecting typical mid-September conditions where average highs hover near 19.4°C and solar heating is moderated by cloud cover. Model consensus shows limited warming potential absent a clear ridge, keeping odds of 23°C or higher below 2%. Updated observations through midday confirm temperatures tracking toward the upper end of this range without exceeding model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,065End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model runs and agencies indicate a peak temperature of 20–21°C in Munich on September 18, 2026, under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 21°C (62% implied probability) and secondary support for 20°C or 22°C, reflecting typical mid-September conditions where average highs hover near 19.4°C and solar heating is moderated by cloud cover. Model consensus shows limited warming potential absent a clear ridge, keeping odds of 23°C or higher below 2%. Updated observations through midday confirm temperatures tracking toward the upper end of this range without exceeding model guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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