Recent forecasts from multiple models show mostly cloudy to overcast skies over Chengdu on September 19, with light northeast winds and a modest chance of rain or drizzle that will limit surface heating and cap the daily maximum near 24–26 °C. This narrow range aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the Sichuan basin, where high humidity and frequent cloud cover typically suppress temperatures several degrees below clear-sky potential. Model consensus currently favors 24 °C as the most probable outcome, though small differences in afternoon cloud thickness or timing of any showers could easily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies and the next model runs will be the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 19?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 19?
24°C 26%
25°C 24%
26°C 18%
23°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
15%
24°C
26%
25°C
24%
26°C
18%
27°C
10%
28°C
6%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 26%
25°C 24%
26°C 18%
23°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
$425 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$10 Vol.
1%
22°C
$328 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,643 Vol.
15%
24°C
$2,320 Vol.
26%
25°C
$487 Vol.
24%
26°C
$557 Vol.
18%
27°C
$431 Vol.
10%
28°C
$384 Vol.
6%
29°C
$427 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show mostly cloudy to overcast skies over Chengdu on September 19, with light northeast winds and a modest chance of rain or drizzle that will limit surface heating and cap the daily maximum near 24–26 °C. This narrow range aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the Sichuan basin, where high humidity and frequent cloud cover typically suppress temperatures several degrees below clear-sky potential. Model consensus currently favors 24 °C as the most probable outcome, though small differences in afternoon cloud thickness or timing of any showers could easily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies and the next model runs will be the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$7,116End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show mostly cloudy to overcast skies over Chengdu on September 19, with light northeast winds and a modest chance of rain or drizzle that will limit surface heating and cap the daily maximum near 24–26 °C. This narrow range aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the Sichuan basin, where high humidity and frequent cloud cover typically suppress temperatures several degrees below clear-sky potential. Model consensus currently favors 24 °C as the most probable outcome, though small differences in afternoon cloud thickness or timing of any showers could easily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies and the next model runs will be the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,116End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models show mostly cloudy to overcast skies over Chengdu on September 19, with light northeast winds and a modest chance of rain or drizzle that will limit surface heating and cap the daily maximum near 24–26 °C. This narrow range aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the Sichuan basin, where high humidity and frequent cloud cover typically suppress temperatures several degrees below clear-sky potential. Model consensus currently favors 24 °C as the most probable outcome, though small differences in afternoon cloud thickness or timing of any showers could easily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies and the next model runs will be the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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