Recent high-resolution forecasts from European and global models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, have converged on a maximum temperature of 23°C for Ankara on September 16, driving the market's near-certain consensus around this exact outcome. Mid-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau typically features daytime highs near 22–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions, and current observations align closely with this baseline without signs of anomalous warming or cooling. Official verification will come from the Turkish State Meteorological Service's Ankara station readings, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum. Only unexpected microscale factors, such as localized cloud cover or measurement timing discrepancies, could realistically shift the final recorded value away from 23°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 16?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$60,628 Vol.
$60,628 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$60,628 Vol.
$60,628 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
19°C or below
$5,020 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,723 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$13,964 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$8,413 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$11,180 Vol.
100%
24°C
$7,854 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,159 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,409 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,348 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$381 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$176 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution forecasts from European and global models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, have converged on a maximum temperature of 23°C for Ankara on September 16, driving the market's near-certain consensus around this exact outcome. Mid-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau typically features daytime highs near 22–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions, and current observations align closely with this baseline without signs of anomalous warming or cooling. Official verification will come from the Turkish State Meteorological Service's Ankara station readings, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum. Only unexpected microscale factors, such as localized cloud cover or measurement timing discrepancies, could realistically shift the final recorded value away from 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$60,628End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution forecasts from European and global models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, have converged on a maximum temperature of 23°C for Ankara on September 16, driving the market's near-certain consensus around this exact outcome. Mid-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau typically features daytime highs near 22–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions, and current observations align closely with this baseline without signs of anomalous warming or cooling. Official verification will come from the Turkish State Meteorological Service's Ankara station readings, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum. Only unexpected microscale factors, such as localized cloud cover or measurement timing discrepancies, could realistically shift the final recorded value away from 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$60,628End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-resolution forecasts from European and global models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, have converged on a maximum temperature of 23°C for Ankara on September 16, driving the market's near-certain consensus around this exact outcome. Mid-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau typically features daytime highs near 22–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions, and current observations align closely with this baseline without signs of anomalous warming or cooling. Official verification will come from the Turkish State Meteorological Service's Ankara station readings, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum. Only unexpected microscale factors, such as localized cloud cover or measurement timing discrepancies, could realistically shift the final recorded value away from 23°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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