Marine layer depth and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific continue to moderate maximum temperatures across Los Angeles on July 15, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus pointing to highs near 78–82°F at official stations. Recent forecast updates show a slight warming trend under strengthening high pressure, tempered by typical July marine influence that often caps coastal readings below inland peaks. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 78–83°F because small shifts in boundary layer moisture, wind direction, or afternoon clearing can alter the daily maximum by several degrees. Historical July averages near 83–85°F provide context, while resolution hinges on the official downtown Los Angeles observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on July 15?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 15?
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 25.4%
84-85°F 7.8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 15, 2026
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 25.4%
84-85°F 7.8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 15, 2026
75°F or below
$10 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
8%
78-79°F
$22 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$90 Vol.
37%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
25%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
8%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$6 Vol.
5%
90-91°F
$418 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$165 Vol.
1%
94°F or higher
$81 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer depth and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific continue to moderate maximum temperatures across Los Angeles on July 15, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus pointing to highs near 78–82°F at official stations. Recent forecast updates show a slight warming trend under strengthening high pressure, tempered by typical July marine influence that often caps coastal readings below inland peaks. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 78–83°F because small shifts in boundary layer moisture, wind direction, or afternoon clearing can alter the daily maximum by several degrees. Historical July averages near 83–85°F provide context, while resolution hinges on the official downtown Los Angeles observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volume
$772End Date
Jul 15, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer depth and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific continue to moderate maximum temperatures across Los Angeles on July 15, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus pointing to highs near 78–82°F at official stations. Recent forecast updates show a slight warming trend under strengthening high pressure, tempered by typical July marine influence that often caps coastal readings below inland peaks. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 78–83°F because small shifts in boundary layer moisture, wind direction, or afternoon clearing can alter the daily maximum by several degrees. Historical July averages near 83–85°F provide context, while resolution hinges on the official downtown Los Angeles observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$772End Date
Jul 15, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer depth and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific continue to moderate maximum temperatures across Los Angeles on July 15, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus pointing to highs near 78–82°F at official stations. Recent forecast updates show a slight warming trend under strengthening high pressure, tempered by typical July marine influence that often caps coastal readings below inland peaks. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 78–83°F because small shifts in boundary layer moisture, wind direction, or afternoon clearing can alter the daily maximum by several degrees. Historical July averages near 83–85°F provide context, while resolution hinges on the official downtown Los Angeles observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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