Recent forecasts for Buenos Aires indicate a daily maximum around 15–17°C on July 15, consistent with mid-winter climatology where average highs reach about 15°C amid frequent cold fronts and southerly flow. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and local outlooks points to modest warming under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds, though precipitation chances could suppress peak readings. Trader emphasis on 18–19°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any ridge or frontal passage, as small shifts in cloud cover or advection can alter the diurnal maximum by 1–2°C. Historical variability in July shows occasional spikes above 17°C during brief warm intrusions, supporting the tight spread between leading contracts while underscoring model divergence on resolution-day conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 15?
18°C 32%
19°C 30%
17°C 17%
20°C 8.0%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
17%
18°C
32%
19°C
30%
20°C
8%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 32%
19°C 30%
17°C 17%
20°C 8.0%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
17%
18°C
32%
19°C
30%
20°C
8%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Buenos Aires indicate a daily maximum around 15–17°C on July 15, consistent with mid-winter climatology where average highs reach about 15°C amid frequent cold fronts and southerly flow. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and local outlooks points to modest warming under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds, though precipitation chances could suppress peak readings. Trader emphasis on 18–19°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any ridge or frontal passage, as small shifts in cloud cover or advection can alter the diurnal maximum by 1–2°C. Historical variability in July shows occasional spikes above 17°C during brief warm intrusions, supporting the tight spread between leading contracts while underscoring model divergence on resolution-day conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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